Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95417e73958d52ff217929ecbd4a55d518254f1f463e0a4c9cfa95c2ecbd57a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Brazil, Scotland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,181,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,503,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,181,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc67a…f0b6backed Scotland | 51c | 597,524$305,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305,026.19 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…9458backed Brazil | 49c | 450,000$222,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228,000 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…1057backed Scotland | 52c | 384,615$200,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,999.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…4a23backed Scotland | 52c | 365,384$190,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189,999.68 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Brazil | 49c | 350,000$170,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180,000 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Scotland | 50c | 342,566$172,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,761.62 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…0f47backed Scotland | 52c | 327,091$170,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,087.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Brazil | 49c | 237,000$115,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,737.5 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Brazil | 59c | 198,864$116,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,948.87 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Brazil | 47c | 162,391$77,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,375.17 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Brazil | 48c | 101,869$48,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,369.25 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Brazil | 50c | 100,107$49,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,243.98 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Brazil | 48c | 95,000$46,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,949.99 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Brazil | 48c | 88,888$42,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,221.76 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Scotland | 54c | 81,319$43,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,531.82 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Brazil | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,200 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Scotland | 40c | 66,365$26,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,456 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Brazil | 48c | 64,598$31,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,591.01 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…ada5backed Brazil | 49c | 61,224$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,224.49 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brazil | 49c | 54,007$26,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,711.73 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Brazil | 49c | 53,755$26,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,594.36 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Scotland | 52c | 53,000$27,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,559.99 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Brazil | 51c | 50,568$25,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,783.27 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Brazil | 49c | 41,466$20,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,961.31 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…bb53backed Scotland | 50c | 40,000$19,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,849.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brazil | 48c | 37,945$18,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,700.03 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Scotland | 49c | 34,999$17,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,149.7 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed Brazil | 48c | 33,792$16,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,571.72 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Brazil | 74c | 33,091$24,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,488.93 | 28 | 96.4%27 W · 1 L | +6.6wins | +0.23per pick | 73cpaid | +40%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked Scotland | 50c | 29,850$14,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,925 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…030ebacked Scotland | 50c | 29,850$14,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,925 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f557backed Scotland | 53c | 26,607$14,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,020.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Scotland | 50c | 23,882$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Scotland | 53c | 21,757$11,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,531.08 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Scotland | 50c | 21,186$10,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,593.2 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Scotland | 34c | 21,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…9dcbbacked Brazil | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6315…27a9backed Brazil | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…ac3ebacked Scotland | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a2…353abacked Brazil | 49c | 18,000$8,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,180 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Brazil | 48c | 16,171$7,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,449.28 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Scotland | 52c | 16,021$8,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,331.17 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Scotland | 52c | 15,999$8,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,319.25 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Scotland | 54c | 14,743$7,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,960.99 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…3122backed Brazil | 49c | 14,477$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,367.04 | 166 | 37.3%62 W · 104 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Brazil | 49c | 13,347$6,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,811.73 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed Brazil | 50c | 12,762$6,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,381.12 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Scotland | 50c | 12,674$6,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,338.72 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Scotland | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,124.95 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Scotland | 50c | 12,084$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,001.16 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Brazil | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,239.98 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…8be4backed Brazil | 51c | 11,584$5,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,676.4 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Brazil | 49c | 11,429$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.57 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Brazil | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Brazil | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Scotland | 50c | 10,400$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Brazil | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Brazil | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brazil | 52c | 10,127$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Brazil | 49c | 10,000$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Brazil | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Brazil | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Scotland | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Brazil | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9c…c8cfbacked Brazil | 51c | 9,350$4,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,586.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Scotland | 50c | 9,146$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.2 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Brazil | 49c | 9,141$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.91 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Scotland | 50c | 9,000$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.91 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Scotland | 44c | 8,634$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.54 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…c387backed Scotland | 50c | 8,428$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,214 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Scotland | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…a96fbacked Brazil | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Brazil | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Brazil | 48c | 7,963$3,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.67 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Scotland | 54c | 7,963$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Scotland | 52c | 7,777$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.04 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Scotland | 50c | 7,576$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.69 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…f18ebacked Scotland | 37c | 7,522$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Scotland | 50c | 7,400$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Brazil | 35c | 7,354$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.96 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Brazil | 49c | 6,739$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.66 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Brazil | 49c | 6,666$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.66 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Brazil | 68c | 6,555$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.31 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Scotland | 50c | 6,500$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.2 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Scotland | 51c | 6,400$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.86 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Brazil | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.98 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Scotland | 32c | 6,261$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.15 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…138cbacked Brazil | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Scotland | 51c | 6,088$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.38 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Brazil | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Scotland | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.95 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Brazil | 70c | 5,941$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.05 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…d6fabacked Brazil | 49c | 5,929$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.98 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Brazil | 52c | 5,787$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.78 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Scotland | 51c | 5,704$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.24 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked Brazil | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Brazil | 50c | 5,020$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.41 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Brazil | 49c | 5,018$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.68 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Brazil | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Scotland | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)this page
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 5.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 6.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 7.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.