Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaabdc1e2dd2e2cfc5529144a75aac12ca721288791ed7bba06290d8e96c2d12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 1c | 8,426$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 6,375$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.85 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 2,525$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.92 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Over | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed Under | 72c | 1,620$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.39 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 1,305$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.11 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 920.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Over | 27c | 738.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.18 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Under | 72c | 530$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…e64ebacked Over | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 74c | 183.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 73c | 173.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 57c | 171.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 170.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 72c | 165.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…02f2backed Over | 28c | 162.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Over | 11c | 155.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 44c | 141$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 74c | 117.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…08e3backed Over | 25c | 96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 72c | 89.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Over | 55c | 89.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 72c | 70.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 63c | 66.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Over | 52c | 57.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 79c | 54.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b4…3865backed Over | 28c | 51.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed Under | 73c | 47.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 57c | 43.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Under | 53c | 37.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…19f7backed Over | 41c | 33.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Under | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…95ebbacked Under | 73c | 17.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…781bbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 5.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 6.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 7.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.