TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Brazil (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Scotlandof Brazil, Scotland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$567,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$561,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Scotland78c319,775$247,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,777.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Brazil26c195,502$51,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,090.082,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Brazil25c37,532$9,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,298.287346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Brazil20c20,050$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Brazil12c20,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9918740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Brazil21c19,611$4,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,194.891,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Scotland63c18,437$11,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,796.6153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Scotland69c15,755$10,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,918.3864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Brazil31c14,482$4,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,511.541,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Brazil23c9,657$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.814132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Brazil32c8,413$2,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.561,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Scotland78c6,407$5,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.274,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Scotland63c6,153$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.625753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Scotland62c6,031$3,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.1810550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Brazil33c5,996$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.8887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Brazil23c5,572$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.6639039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Brazil32c5,437$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.0985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Brazil12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Brazil13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Brazil19c3,935$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.120646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Brazil25c3,925$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.852,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Brazil33c3,615$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.881,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Brazil18c3,457$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.9153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Brazil11c3,245$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.5643139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Brazil13c3,150$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4860511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Brazil19c3,071$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.9166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Brazil24c3,050$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7329450%47 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Brazil28c2,740$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.241,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Brazil35c2,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Scotland67c2,231$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.2326459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Brazil25c2,186$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.424341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Brazil11c2,060$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.139933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Scotland75c2,032$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.522,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Scotland72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Scotland68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64011657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Scotland66c1,737$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.6527034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Brazil35c1,694$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Brazil16c1,623$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.72,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Brazil29c1,595$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.62,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Scotland66c1,314$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.3418765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Brazil38c1,287$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.9814463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Brazil15c1,258$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0912117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Brazil9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Brazil22c1,004$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.692,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Brazil10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Brazil16c999.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9935424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Brazil9c929.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.263,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Brazil12c852.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006823.5%16 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Brazil20c825.38$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.152,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Scotland76c800$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18919351.8%100 W · 93 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Brazil13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Brazil13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac35…ad85backed Brazil13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007320.5%15 W · 58 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Brazil25c735.26$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18117948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc14c…f8afbacked Brazil14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004623.9%11 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Brazil36c669.99$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.110742.1%45 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Brazil15c667.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Brazil14c664.26$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.253756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked Brazil12c655.42$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.656918.8%13 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Brazil16c650.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.261,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Brazil12c648.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Brazil39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Scotland63c636.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3665948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Scotland64c635.26$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6115341.8%64 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Scotland60c628.45$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.722,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a58…3d65backed Brazil8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick12cpaid+125.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Scotland70c621.87$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.136234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Brazil3c606.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0546012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Scotland77c591.26$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.481,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Brazil12c563.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.523,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Brazil11c553.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Brazil21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10527837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Brazil30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Scotland66c457.83$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9936350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Brazil12c450$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3423227.6%64 W · 168 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ae5…6aa2backed Brazil23c418.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.266725.4%17 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb69d…7678backed Brazil12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012138.8%47 W · 74 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Brazil5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58fe…d772backed Brazil9c400$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Brazil23c372.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.132,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Brazil28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Scotland60c330.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5723645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Brazil16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509248.9%45 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Scotland73c305.35$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Brazil24c305$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.23450%17 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cc…3647backed Brazil33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005046%23 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Scotland65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10513936%50 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1792…7190backed Brazil18c296.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Brazil31c295.4$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7713352.6%70 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Brazil37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Brazil38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004027.5%11 W · 29 L-7.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Brazil12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Brazil33c202.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2446562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Scotland71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Brazil17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3417248.3%83 W · 89 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce61…8ef6backed Brazil13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515742.7%67 W · 90 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…584fbacked Brazil18c179.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.398448.8%41 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Brazil39c175.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.29456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Brazil15c173.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0127255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Brazil12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.