TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,592 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c2,221$1,671 inWon+$549.824,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over26c1,500$385 inLost-$38511946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under74c441.23$327 inWon+$114.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over23c434.78$100 inLost-$10054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over25c400$100 inLost-$10015440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7757…120cbacked Under78c346.94$271 inWon+$76.333073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over25c332.72$83 inLost-$82.913,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over23c212$49 inLost-$48.7695739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Over25c200$50 inLost-$5028535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over25c193.4$48 inLost-$48.3519713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over26c184.08$48 inLost-$47.868032.5%26 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under74c168$124 inWon+$43.682,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over25c160.03$41 inLost-$40.768,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under75c84.37$63 inWon+$21.092,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under74c84.3$62 inWon+$21.9277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under75c81$61 inWon+$20.253,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf875…37d2backed Over26c76.92$20 inLost-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under74c76.92$57 inWon+$2059752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over23c50.7$12 inLost-$11.753,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under75c43.89$33 inWon+$11.121,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over26c39.99$10 inLost-$10.43,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under75c39.82$30 inWon+$10.141,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Under75c20$15 inWon+$5.0525655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under74c20$15 inWon+$5.216157.8%93 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.