Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafcf87206f613cd50123b02b97b137f42a9e2e2adfcdc938dc00a28cc30f1883
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 28c | 3,310$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.63 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 3,007$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.24 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 35c | 2,741$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.8 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 66c | 2,417$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 27c | 1,500$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.64 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 73c | 1,377$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.03 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 69c | 1,022$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.67 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 999.77$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 923.07$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 2c | 916.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Over | 73c | 822.63$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.63 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 68c | 694.83$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 72c | 684$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 71c | 547.27$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed Under | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 28c | 457.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed Under | 30c | 416.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 28c | 351.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 65c | 348.39$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Under | 29c | 345.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 28c | 319.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 72c | 307.83$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 27c | 301.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Under | 29c | 282.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 28c | 243.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 12c | 196.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…b7c9backed Under | 28c | 178.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 73c | 160.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 70c | 139$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…2209backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 71c | 136.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked Over | 72c | 130.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 9c | 129.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 71c | 105.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…f6a1backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 72c | 92.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 72c | 91.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…5a05backed Under | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe1…af91backed Over | 72c | 75.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…9f42backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e52…ec62backed Over | 73c | 68.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…3326backed Over | 71c | 62.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…c91fbacked Under | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Under | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 72c | 60.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Over | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Under | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 72c | 44.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 276 | 55.1%152 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 38.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Under | 33c | 36.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 72c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 64c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Over | 72c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…ddd6backed Over | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 199 | 32.2%64 W · 135 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 5.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 6.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 7.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.