TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$336,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$324,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over12c26,089$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.41,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over13c13,887$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.142,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over18c12,738$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.751,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over20c12,500$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Over16c12,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9209323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over17c10,653$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.7828224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over16c6,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9911946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over16c4,444$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.0432029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over15c4,395$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.2823427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over16c3,149$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.8560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over7c3,038$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1916325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under79c2,530$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.5719158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over12c2,297$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over16c2,206$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5952744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under71c1,679$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.1144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over15c1,594$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.792,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under55c1,500$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6762,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over17c1,462$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2432,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under80c1,241$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.158942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed Over15c1,012$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.820539%80 W · 125 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac11…9d3abacked Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under62c992.35$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.3633740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over22c804.15$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.234,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over26c796.23$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5617322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over20c787.2$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4465948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under51c700$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34527543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over17c676.46$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d20…71f4backed Over28c670.84$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.664233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over15c665.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.915920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Under79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9116030.6%49 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over22c625$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.041,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8428…1857backed Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008828.4%25 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over21c620.35$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.591,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Over14c541.9$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.818929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Over19c510$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.910849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.335955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14539932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over16c496$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.361,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over15c466.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Over14c432.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7126647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over30c400$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.151,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Under78c384.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.814161%25 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under80c357.13$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5212753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over19c352.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6715143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Under76c350.31$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.078950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over21c344$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2412223%28 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under62c340$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.217255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.837237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over16c317.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.822135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc2…e485backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019450.5%98 W · 96 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over27c305$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.851,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6334…6fa3backed Over22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick27cpaid+58.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Over9c295$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5715131.8%48 W · 103 L-16.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over11c292.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1877433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9f…9f3abacked Over22c271.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.783636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f67…4869backed Over15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-27.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over27c255$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4834845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under70c250$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.792,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c0…f73abacked Over16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011437.7%43 W · 71 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over29c220.08$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8538745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Over16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355527.3%15 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over17c210.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.061,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under78c210.13$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.262,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Over23c205$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over17c201.51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.051,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba9…acf0backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over18c192.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.653,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over22c187.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.932317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over19c176.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.631,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca1…ee3fbacked Over13c165.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113833.3%46 W · 92 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb6…f256backed Over32c158.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505540%22 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over30c155.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.131,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c3…4d2ebacked Over24c154.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over14c153.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1223736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over20c151.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8823345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over20c145$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2982340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Over24c143.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0225741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Over14c141.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8132046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over23c139$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.881,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54a…f771backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe689…0418backed Under68c130$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.65646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…2766backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over21c120.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over17c111.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8946939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf875…37d2backed Over18c110.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.952437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.