TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,242,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,242,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,242,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 635 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c176,924$119,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,272.274,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0c…7ca5backed Over37c92,164$33,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,958.871560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+148.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c51,566$11,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,756.243,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under57c45,642$26,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,416.5974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over13c45,205$5,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,864.3924533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Over29c32,489$9,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,347.027150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under57c32,011$18,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,606.6177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under69c29,581$20,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,170.2132031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over44c27,685$12,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,228.092,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over20c25,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under58c24,270$14,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,259.719839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under60c18,598$11,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,527.8964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over48c18,306$8,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,710.4439644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under72c16,049$11,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,564.2544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over60c15,555$9,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,332.8242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under57c15,000$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,45013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under41c14,920$6,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,851.3342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under54c14,701$7,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,786.4143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ad…7e0dbacked Over31c14,500$4,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4952412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over40c12,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under56c12,259$6,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,393.8917550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under41c11,700$4,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,902.9920731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Over45c11,109$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.0914727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over45c10,654$4,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,751.6925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over36c10,241$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.091,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under55c9,960$5,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4828931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7337…fe5ebacked Over60c9,935$6,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,007.161330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under69c9,879$6,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.4170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over20c9,176$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.263,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over31c8,888$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.2832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over31c8,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,48059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ec…10a0backed Under64c7,838$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838.433652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over51c6,674$3,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,417.132,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over5c6,405$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9512114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed Over29c5,680$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.817630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Over35c5,433$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.6118929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0004344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under56c4,980$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.3226447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under68c4,787$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.721,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under59c4,606$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.2937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under69c4,505$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.4833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4543…72d1backed Under58c4,310$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.341758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over31c4,271$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.011,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under70c4,206$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.81,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c4,077$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.072,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over52c3,850$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.541,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over42c3,759$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.0434845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over31c3,736$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.142,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under57c3,687$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.765846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c3,478$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.082,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under64c3,459$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.1525049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c3,356$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over49c3,312$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.291,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over34c3,230$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.5836234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x737d…7590backed Under38c3,100$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9151735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over31c3,052$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.782,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under58c3,041$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.991,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.8312655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under46c2,710$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.7231545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over57c2,698$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.8622943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over57c2,650$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Under49c2,621$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.3821759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under64c2,507$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.8533740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over41c2,461$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.641,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under46c2,408$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.0819649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over50c2,361$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.319848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under68c2,359$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.141,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under52c2,295$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.3939933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over31c2,293$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.7841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c2,245$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.654,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Over46c2,186$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over43c2,177$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.81,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Under69c2,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.9117950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over44c2,163$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.636235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over31c2,142$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.8960511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over41c2,141$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.0643230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over42c2,077$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.528723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Over49c2,024$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.016647%31 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8205728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over33c1,989$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over44c1,953$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.592,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c4…7b1ebacked Over21c1,905$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under66c1,900$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6455863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under51c1,900$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93123440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over54c1,894$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.5675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under47c1,880$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.6330642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a00…159dbacked Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.852462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over25c1,825$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.2236250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6495…0181backed Under55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1811855.9%66 W · 52 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Over64c1,751$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.0812144.6%54 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked Under61c1,700$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.997044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under60c1,646$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.884472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Over53c1,615$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.625541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.