TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,222 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf639…4a74backed Over2c6,738$150 inLost-$15017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over5c3,220$176 inLost-$176.234,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over11c2,003$220 inLost-$220.3365737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over4c1,649$60 inLost-$59.814,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over7c1,068$73 inLost-$72.962,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over6c698.99$41 inLost-$40.942,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae9f…b0adbacked Over5c694.8$35 inLost-$34.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over4c685.71$31 inLost-$30.564,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over16c499.86$80 inLost-$79.9895739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad0…be1dbacked Over13c384.62$50 inLost-$504731.9%15 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over13c384.62$50 inLost-$504650%23 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over5c340.94$15 inLost-$15.411,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over6c335$20 inLost-$2028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over14c283.07$40 inLost-$39.6318827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa94…3601backed Over6c278.79$17 inLost-$16.736216.1%10 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over13c240.48$31 inLost-$31.2673234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Over12c214$26 inLost-$25.687634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over13c199.38$26 inLost-$25.9219713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over13c184.62$24 inLost-$2434526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over10c137.77$14 inLost-$14.4137237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over11c136.15$14 inLost-$14.351,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over15c123.47$19 inLost-$18.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Over13c120$16 inLost-$15.67911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$104740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6704…eb81backed Over15c97.63$15 inLost-$157244.4%32 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.