TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,599 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb209…b744backed Under0c46,001$69 inLost-$68.8418642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over64c5,354$3,406 inWon+$1,948.084,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under37c5,000$1,850 inLost-$1,849.9527039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under36c510.75$184 inLost-$183.8764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Over64c203.13$130 inWon+$73.1310354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Under36c184.28$66 inLost-$66.349947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c178.79$66 inLost-$66.153,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Over64c162.84$104 inWon+$58.6210335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon+$56.2543246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under36c106.6$38 inLost-$38.3819545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under37c70$26 inLost-$25.93,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over63c66.53$42 inWon+$24.611,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac36…b1e1backed Over64c59.97$38 inWon+$21.593735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9aa2…3620backed Over60c50$30 inWon+$207241.7%30 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc078…c8d0backed Under38c48.5$18 inLost-$18.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over63c40.4$25 inWon+$14.951,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8f…faf6backed Over64c29.69$19 inWon+$10.696747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4325…324dbacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.638762.1%54 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6051…06efbacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.634652.2%24 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0392…ab02backed Over64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.6320354.7%111 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3b…583bbacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.638944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…5daabacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.6310263.7%65 W · 37 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.