TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6051…06ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4652.2%24 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$13.96
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+769.6%+$115.43
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$7.84
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$20.36
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$6.48
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$13.72
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.91
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: Alondrissa vs Angie Velascobacked Velasco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.