Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cbaf5b35048142abf76d7537b96272f1d40b71fcc3d7bb40ebdfe6382d269fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,412,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,601,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,412,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 32c | 325,389$104,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,124.64 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 68c | 238,576$162,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,400.53 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 197,472$71,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,669.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 59c | 112,034$66,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,816.99 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 68c | 100,000$68,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,999.98 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 32c | 100,000$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,999.96 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 64c | 61,535$39,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,400.99 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 68c | 57,070$38,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,262.55 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 37c | 56,636$21,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,128.62 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 68c | 50,000$33,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,039.55 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 68c | 40,000$27,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 67c | 36,133$24,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,748.19 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 32c | 32,531$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,460.85 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed No | 32c | 25,925$8,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,296.07 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 74c | 24,697$18,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,393.2 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Yes | 67c | 20,500$13,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,764.88 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 32c | 20,279$6,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,577.12 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 67c | 16,463$11,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,432.89 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked No | 33c | 15,152$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…9a82backed Yes | 68c | 14,997$10,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.11 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 32c | 14,800$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 68c | 14,706$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.88 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 33c | 13,420$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.73 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Yes | 60c | 12,932$7,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.5 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 11,904$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.32 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 67c | 11,592$7,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.48 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.96 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 9,754$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.17 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 32c | 8,861$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.65 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes | 57c | 8,753$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.19 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…76d3backed No | 33c | 8,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.89 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.99 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 32c | 6,682$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.09 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 57c | 6,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.99 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 6,001$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.3 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 68c | 5,882$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.35 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 35c | 5,768$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.73 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…1581backed Yes | 68c | 5,432$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.31 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed No | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…9da4backed Yes | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.76 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 32c | 4,116$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.88 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed Yes | 47c | 3,846$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.23 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…577ebacked Yes | 53c | 3,779$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.83 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Yes | 68c | 3,676$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.47 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 2c | 3,621$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 66c | 3,281$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.25 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…2938backed Yes | 65c | 3,266$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.74 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 32c | 2,933$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.24 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 47c | 2,770$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.2 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 68c | 2,663$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.37 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 5c | 2,632$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 32c | 2,520$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.4 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…317abacked Yes | 67c | 2,372$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 61c | 2,350$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.5 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 59c | 2,219$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.94 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…51bbbacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed No | 41c | 2,021$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.15 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 32c | 2,015$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.25 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…c827backed Yes | 61c | 1,911$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,911$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.01 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 43c | 1,850$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 38c | 1,800$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.01 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…6347backed Yes | 68c | 1,441$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.18 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 33c | 1,400$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked No | 46c | 1,373$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.48 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…2c61backed Yes | 68c | 1,143$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.65 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 65c | 1,132$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.32 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 44c | 1,124$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.91 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 55c | 1,088$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.66 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…2703backed Yes | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8c…4df4backed Yes | 68c | 1,065$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.66 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 8c | 1,043$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…d67dbacked No | 32c | 961.98$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…1a6bbacked Yes | 68c | 955.88$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Yes | 62c | 950$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 33c | 899.41$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.81 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 65c | 888.92$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.7 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…03efbacked Yes | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…a0b1backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked No | 40c | 859.36$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 59c | 853.67$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.67 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina leading at halftime?this page
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?No won
- Cabo Verde leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.