TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ec2…aebb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,522
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,836.94
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,989.56
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$976
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,497.3
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,460.65
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$8,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,223.34
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,815Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+68%+$3,272.3
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,422.11
Paraguay vs. France: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,762Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$4,910.59
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,658
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,891Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,891.26
Morocco leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,552.5
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$585
Canada leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,422.94
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,675Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$2,824.99
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+216.9%+$9,586.84
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,370.63
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+361.5%+$3,421.43
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.56
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,395.22
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,975Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$4,024.97
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13,797Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$9,864.77
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,200
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,057.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$3,291.31
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,776Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,574.5
Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,201.43
Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$687.38
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+62.1%+$632
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$4,984.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,212.47
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,594Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+186.8%+$4,845.95
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,050
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$8,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,853.08
Will Al Hilal beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,509Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+60.3%+$3,319.56
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,627Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$6,878.04
Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,261Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$913.37
Will Mamelodi beat Fluminense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,754Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+32%+$2,481.73
Will Flamengo beat LAFC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,428.91
Will Atlético Madrid vs. Botafogo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,582
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11,966Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+53.6%+$6,415.65
All 20 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$3,841.27
Manchester United vs. Everton: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,301.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+110.7%+$2,604.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.