South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34c1ba85ad95e3f95a4ac13ec50c535e06ab2e9a683748c3eace91ad1e69371d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 6,343$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.32 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 5,357$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.28 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Yes | 44c | 3,630$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 69c | 2,066$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.3 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed Yes | 43c | 2,064$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 57c | 1,974$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 34c | 1,654$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.66 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked No | 57c | 1,004$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 824$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.7 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 812.08$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.19 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 47c | 611.62$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 491.4$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 489.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…1b82backed Yes | 43c | 459.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 57c | 437$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.91 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 12c | 396.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 42c | 330.66$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Yes | 35c | 273$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 80c | 271.98$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Yes | 43c | 230.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 44c | 225.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 205.15$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 13c | 185.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 153.9$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 21c | 153.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 139$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Yes | 38c | 125$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…01e9backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 70c | 104.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 46c | 83.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed Yes | 34c | 75.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 15c | 65.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 60.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Yes | 43c | 48.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed No | 58c | 42.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…8c13backed Yes | 40c | 40.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…327dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…e069backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yes | 28c | 39.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…2fefbacked Yes | 26c | 39.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…fde1backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 49c | 31.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…7d92backed Yes | 45c | 30.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…cf43backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 48c | 28.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…b672backed Yes | 50c | 24.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…3057backed No | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…e009backed Yes | 50c | 22.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd6…ac29backed Yes | 50c | 20.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…ed9cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…e85dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…517bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-19?this page
- Will Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?No won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.