South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb559747cb48e29689ffc54364f6f7863c583d376946258d81a7f588bfe9095bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 8,751$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 35c | 2,707$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.21 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 1,727$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.96 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 1,633$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 31c | 447.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 13c | 369.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…1b82backed Yes | 29c | 347.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 32c | 316.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 68c | 313$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes | 14c | 260.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 32c | 155.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 68c | 134$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 25c | 125.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 68c | 109$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 101.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…f337backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 68c | 97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Yes | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Yes | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Yes | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Yes | 32c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Yes | 32c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 68c | 68.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked No | 73c | 47.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 76c | 40.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a471backed Yes | 33c | 34.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 26.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-19?No won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.