TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2fe9…a400

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.43
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$16
Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.18
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+100%+$24
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.86
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18.9
1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24.08
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.11
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$8.93
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$33.12
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+92.3%+$22.08
Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.36
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$10.12
Knicks vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$11.2
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
Rice Owls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.36
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-4.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.72
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Indiana State Sycamores: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Miami Hurricanes vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$22.5
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$23.46
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$22.44
Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-1.5)backed Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.08
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-11.5)backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$14.06
Spread: Furman Paladins (-3.5)backed Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.32
Butler Bulldogs vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.5
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.6
James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eagles: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$13.78
Spread: LSU Tigers (-22.5)backed LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.78
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Louisville Cardinals vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.68
North Alabama Lions vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21.76
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-18.5)backed Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-16.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$10.5
Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn Quakersbacked Lafayette Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35.77
Montana State Bobcats vs. Long Beach State Beachbacked Montana State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$8.36
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.94
Stars vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.23
KHL: Barys Astana vs. CSKA Moscowbacked Barys Astana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+244.8%+$29.11
AHL: Bridgeport Islanders vs. Lehigh Valley Phantomsbacked Bridgeport Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$15.66
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Torpedobacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Belleville Senatorsbacked Laval Rocket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.36
Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16.52
Hurricanes vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+138.1%+$15.66
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Avangard Omskbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.09
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufabacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
Stars vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.58
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+112.8%+$11.66
Rangers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.38
Bruins vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$16.32
Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.57
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.79
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.5
Norwich City FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27.84
Will Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$34.56
Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.7
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$28.49
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.18
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$19.08
Will Oxford United FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Oxford United FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$15.08
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.04
RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.52
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.4
Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.58
Will SD Huesca vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$32.2
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$15.17
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.93
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$20.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.85
Will Göztepe SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.62
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.67
NEC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$12.42
Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.44
Will SC Braga vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+28.2%+$9.46
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-01-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.71
CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$22.4
EC Bahia vs. Fortaleza EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$32.76
Will Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.28
SE Palmeiras vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$71.78
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+177.8%+$55.68
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$39.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-65.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.52
O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: 1H Moneylinebacked Louisiana-Lafayette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.28
Spread: Troy (-1.5)backed Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.22
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$18.29
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$45.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daegu FC win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5.89
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Daegu FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+185.7%+$66.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Samuel Sevian vs Lorenzo Lodici (Advances)backed Sevian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29%+$8.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.