TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,066 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869b…c625backed No73c131,596$95,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,969.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes27c32,216$8,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,517.386155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes27c31,542$8,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,025.9193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes27c19,173$5,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,996.2952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c14,944$4,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,104.872,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No72c11,435$8,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,233.124351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes28c9,300$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,695.8545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes28c8,376$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,049.0996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Yes27c7,804$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,696.622774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed No73c5,633$4,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,111.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes27c4,694$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,408.1633357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No73c3,777$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,757.212347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16022551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes27c2,444$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.125446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c2,201$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.961,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes28c2,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45033148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.7122237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes27c1,500$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Yes72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.89366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes73c990$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3732843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes27c897.03$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.8317543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes31c896.95$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.993357.6%19 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.293250%16 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes27c625.91$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.0559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322737%10 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked No71c563.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes28c553.26$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.5515550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed No19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes49c509.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.23825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…a807backed Yes27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick21cpaid+72.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes79c452.35$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes28c451.49$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.075658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes30c431.76$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7633951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.834647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.035740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No52c289.48$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.520841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162250%11 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes27c255.73$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.873724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked No49c210$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.91758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes53c209.63$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.62166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes79c199$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Yes29c198$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.582360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c195.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6127737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.673743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes30c146.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.674344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes79c135$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-36.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes71c130$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.711964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Yes28c130$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Yes29c127$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.171855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes31c110$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+219.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes73c110$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.629862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6910339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed No69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x202d…f8dabacked Yes28c92.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f93…02c8backed Yes28c89.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+185%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Yes30c88.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.111668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked No29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e7…05c8backed Yes30c84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+77.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No70c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef20…6a30backed Yes79c74.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Yes29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.72272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+74.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaa4b…846cbacked No71c69.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa1f…0ec8backed No72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf1…47a4backed No73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes30c64.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.28457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes33c60.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.358952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cf8…00d1backed No71c56.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Yes29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.52343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3512033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-77.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No71c49.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.374242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed No29c47.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.862759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No71c47.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4513639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No49c44.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.924744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa43…5acebacked No71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed No71c39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes31c38.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.716136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No46c37.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked No71c37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.27650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Yes29c36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed No71c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.85540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Yes29c35$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc582…a75fbacked No72c34.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked No74c32.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.121266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Yes67c31.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.361275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed No51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158525.9%22 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked No71c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked No71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd4…ea9abacked No74c27.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf012…6d13backed No71c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked No71c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.