TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No76c7,080$5,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.72,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes30c3,396$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.7693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes32c3,266$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.3427737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c2,963$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.5296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38d9…5a7cbacked Yes22c2,750$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9914249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes30c1,614$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.0617543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes9c1,499$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.91812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No70c1,469$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.122774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaedd…fa00backed No70c1,436$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.713100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes22c1,138$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No62c1,072$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.114656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes32c1,050$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3363622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4888…4866backed No70c928.57$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.575100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9107…baebbacked No70c642.86$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.86366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x135c…968fbacked Yes43c616.28$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…26e2backed No70c578.57$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes30c551.47$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4119549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b1…8424backed No70c544.29$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7832…2bc2backed No70c502.86$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No69c482.19$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.488058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes44c468.33$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes11c436.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.434835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…b782backed No70c431.43$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes21c428.57$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…e948backed No70c354.29$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes34c336.29$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.621,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa83…74f4backed No70c288.57$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.57580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fd…b25bbacked No70c280.07$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.07560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c94…2c0dbacked Yes42c238.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No73c218.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8943058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff1…c616backed No70c185.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No68c175$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502250%11 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes31c152$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.122339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.528931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd781…92a0backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x126a…be60backed No70c128.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c5f…5fe6backed No70c128.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No71c115.31$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.615550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes24c115$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.67145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No57c112.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6224849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30aa…25f4backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes23c87.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No80c82$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4132843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.67166.2%47 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Yes31c79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.491764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No70c76.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4215045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d99…2cdfbacked Yes38c76.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Yes32c67.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No69c66.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.732085%17 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Yes31c61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.912568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.28456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbef…94d4backed No70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.143100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Yes31c57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.671435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes41c56.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No65c53.84$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.778457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed No69c53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.431553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb458…384abacked Yes38c52.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9942…5b7dbacked No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97c9…5010backed Yes52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes32c46.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511748.7%57 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes31c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.331637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af1…0b91backed No47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked No69c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ee…012fbacked No69c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…101abacked Yes31c32.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed No48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.258525.9%22 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes43c30.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1317948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed No69c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c25.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No59c25.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4131958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed No69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked No69c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+59.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No72c18.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.38952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed No69c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.58560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b90…3c8bbacked No70c16.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8f0…770dbacked No70c16.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed No69c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed No69c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed No69c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…92cbbacked No69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.