TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869b…c625backed Yes41c138,530$56,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,428.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes41c58,632$24,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,039.1811848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c47,906$28,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,599.1293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No59c46,310$27,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,987.11346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No59c30,572$18,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,413.1552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c26,967$16,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,421.132,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No61c25,100$15,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,788.937938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes39c25,000$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,75010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c14,917$9,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,389.3796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No60c8,631$5,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482.1145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No59c7,900$4,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2392774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Yes42c5,279$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes29c4,305$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.42812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c3,034$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.081,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c2,274$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.7827737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No60c2,000$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81033148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8208251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9233357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No60c1,652$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.6415550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Yes31c1,549$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+62.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.453964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed Yes40c1,238$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes40c1,232$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9522237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No61c1,015$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.2359240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1590…9e72backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes41c806.48$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.6624939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32810152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No59c750$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.56349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes41c707.32$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No58c690.73$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No59c510$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.15747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20518459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006050%30 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No60c461.67$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.675658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No59c455.94$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.946851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No59c438.85$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.931361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No61c430.7$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5843058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes39c401.72$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.652941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16413550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16428556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes7c385.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.581540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes42c355.81$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.441020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked No66c304.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.631850%9 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00a7…eb44backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12325556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4390…37e7backed Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…7074backed Yes42c297.02$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes37c288$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.642236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcda…4f1dbacked Yes42c285.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa7…4a55backed No71c258.89$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes41c244.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No59c240$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.412048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No59c240$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.416851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b4…9ef6backed No60c230$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+98.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes25c221.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes35c203.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8031441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked No60c192.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.11668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No59c180$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.815847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No59c180$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.828458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes42c165$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.32347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No60c163.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.361656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Yes42c161.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.532330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No59c159.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.612453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1728445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed No60c140.69$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.241353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.28148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.211454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.28948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.210952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.27746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.210252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.214155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.211953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.29447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.212253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.211448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Yes40c116.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+113.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No73c107.82$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4413639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No73c103.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.378457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb497…a6c2backed Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6912565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1376…8289backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4111550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.