TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1376…8289

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$283.65
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+158.9%+$160.87
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$63.39
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+51.6%+$130.63
Will Southampton FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$57.03
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$130.1
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+733.3%+$218.9
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$152.5
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$30.3
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$123.27
Will West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.83
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$249.97
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$25.9
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,476Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+45.1%+$665.16
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+104.9%+$696.39
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$179.08
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$57.81
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.61
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$43.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$922Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$518.72
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$37.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$52.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.