Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht vs. PSV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46f623b974c69ea2aff1cc819fd5ca9aa002018f83168dba8216d9b49e86231f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 30c | 3,364$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 1,820$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,715$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.15 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,009$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 70c | 876.03$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.81 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 3c | 529.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 15c | 450$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 310.12$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 270.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…8289backed Yes | 26c | 217.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 76c | 213.05$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 30c | 166.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 29c | 161.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…b0a4backed Yes | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…3ff1backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…92babacked Yes | 21c | 93.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 89.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 22c | 87.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…e967backed Yes | 28c | 77.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 62.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 23c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 77c | 59.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…4f97backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 77c | 37.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…69bfbacked No | 79c | 26.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 19.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 18.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht vs. PSV end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.