TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4e02…c5f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$11.5
Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.98
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.28
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27
1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.82
1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.52
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.12
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Knicks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.28
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.32
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.16
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.96
Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$16.92
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.21
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.06
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$18.15
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$14.04
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$34.96
Heat vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16.82
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kopriva vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.93
Kopriva vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.48
Kjaer vs. Munar: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.31
Qatar Total Open: Alexandra Eala vs Tereza Valentovabacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.64
Dallas Open, Qualification: Alex Rybakov vs Murphy Cassonebacked Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.22
Dellien vs. Olivieri: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$17.76
Ostrava Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Katie Boulterbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.61
Sasnovich vs. Eala: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.88
Agut vs. O'Connell: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.48
Birrell vs. Potapova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Set 1 Winner: Muller vs Gironbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.69
Linette vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.73
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Rafael Jodarbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$38.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.5
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Texas State Bobcatsbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.68
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$12.32
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Morehead State Eagles: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
UNCW Seahawks vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.33
Toledo Rockets vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.98
Spread: Furman Paladins (-3.5)backed Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$11.27
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.88
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Spread: Akron Zips (-16.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+132.6%+$16.53
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-23.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.45
Weber State Wildcats vs. Kansas City Roosbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+51.5%+$15.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+53%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.72
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.34
Will Carlos Prates win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+107.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Troy (-2.5)backed Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. Real Madridbacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$30.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Phoenix vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Group Abacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.