Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62228b4305570a687ab4171ba728709c5ff0d17742dd1d05c8776f0dd74111e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 76c | 1,600$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.71 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 1,284$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…33e5backed Under | 76c | 928.16$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 7c | 828.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 74c | 549.97$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Over | 28c | 537.87$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 14c | 425.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x254e…1c40backed Over | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 291.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 22c | 211.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…0cd4backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 27c | 192.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 26c | 180.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 31c | 163.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 31c | 161.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 30c | 156.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Under | 70c | 154.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 25c | 136$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…d521backed Under | 80c | 135.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 26c | 127.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 25c | 122$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 23c | 109.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689b…d7cbbacked Under | 73c | 101.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 28c | 96.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Over | 22c | 95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 21c | 66.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Under | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 24c | 56.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 56.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…d156backed Over | 21c | 54.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 73c | 53.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…5024backed Under | 76c | 40.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 73c | 29.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Under | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Under | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 71c | 27.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Under | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Under | 65c | 25.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Under | 59c | 24.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Under | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Under | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Under | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Under | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Under | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Under | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Under | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Under | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Under | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.