Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ff9f8786e7f1af9f8f3c71b6e3660a7d1d18caf60777c937001336061d5fd82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 53c | 3,200$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.97 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,221$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 45c | 1,560$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…8e3bbacked Over | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 47c | 634.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.21 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Over | 49c | 555.43$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 501$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under | 51c | 499.89$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 49c | 410.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.65 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…ba9bbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a79…1269backed Under | 53c | 395$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Over | 44c | 354.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 331.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.58 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 46c | 287.54$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.91 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…f221backed Under | 53c | 255$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…d521backed Under | 66c | 191$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 48c | 172.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 32c | 114.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 49c | 102.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Under | 60c | 100.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 46c | 91.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 20c | 90$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Under | 55c | 82.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 48c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 81.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…c67bbacked Under | 53c | 77.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed Over | 48c | 74.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 52c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 54c | 69.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Under | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…ff4bbacked Under | 55c | 60.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 59.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 49c | 57.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…2ff5backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 25c | 53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +271.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 50.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 48c | 46.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 48c | 43.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 47c | 39.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 38c | 39.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 49c | 36.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 43c | 33.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 39c | 29.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 29.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 48c | 29.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 45c | 25.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689b…d7cbbacked Under | 63c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ee…713dbacked Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…53d6backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 65c | 18.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.