TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc558…b8ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$75.14
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$159.6
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$498
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$94.03
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$28.96
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$350.8
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210.8
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$25.71
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.54
SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+334.8%+$338.13
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$313.7
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$119.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$229.5
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46.6
Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$115.97
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$220
FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$386.64
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.6
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$296.8
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$277.1
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$173.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$62
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$167.41
Will NEC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+300%+$45
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$85.69
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+102%+$102
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$162.1
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$49.4
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.52
FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+104.2%+$283.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$414.8
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136.5
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$159.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$334.59
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+65.3%+$326.73
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$153.48
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$80.27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$84.38
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+244.8%+$362.34
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+52.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$204.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.