TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5aa…1449backed No46c40,000$18,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,599.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+95.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes54c30,000$16,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,200.22850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c13,771$8,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,624.1871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No29c10,000$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,071.472638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c6,657$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.0487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes55c6,241$3,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,431.1214337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c6,037$3,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.2624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes41c4,823$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.1512839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes55c3,701$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0503857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No45c3,343$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.6321143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c2,845$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.591,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No45c2,821$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.5515455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3259355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes51c2,346$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002744.4%12 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f1a…3589backed Yes53c1,849$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No46c1,520$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.782157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes33c1,510$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.35729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes41c1,482$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes55c1,334$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.884833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c1,142$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.8652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes56c1,106$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes23c1,072$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4824642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No77c1,014$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54029949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes42c900$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No39c896.78$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.356334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes12c886.08$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.924637%17 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes43c883.61$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.959863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No50c825.69$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.852334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes56c803.57$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No45c758.19$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41735157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c692.97$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.4362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes16c675.13$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.388066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3aa…7a89backed Yes42c657.53$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No38c644$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.285040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes52c619.99$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.15060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2463447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes50c585.82$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2426040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No45c585.45$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32228448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No47c569.38$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7723151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a91…bbdebacked Yes55c550$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No36c542.43$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.286942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa946…a679backed Yes41c538.84$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+88%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes55c523$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.659747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No62c522.79$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Yes55c509.09$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No56c502.16$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x495b…8762backed Yes53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5780…8c92backed Yes55c473.49$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.42825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c450$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10818847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes54c428$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.122944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked Yes47c425.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes53c409$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7717043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes22c375.34$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.511044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes54c374$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.964151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed2…8958backed Yes43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes73c342$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.664770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes41c339$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No45c334.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.241323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes26c321.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.684330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes54c304.62$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.361,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c303.05$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3135650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes42c300.12$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+60.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes55c299.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes43c286.7$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.283167.7%21 W · 10 L+7.5wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+70.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes43c279.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes43c275.41$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.119535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes48c270$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0720232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes44c268.18$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-67.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Yes22c267.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes42c259.52$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes41c256.1$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes55c240$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes43c222.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes55c203.64$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11223250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11222340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes54c199.56$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.763745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes47c191.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes32c190.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008060%48 W · 32 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Yes52c180$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…b80fbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…86abbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes55c163.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes54c156.52$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.524557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaffc…fab4backed Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b5…10aebacked Yes40c140.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.