Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x812c5999e3849f69d52bf521552ed467c62921e23ffbb09982f7b9e70e93552f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 8,861$4,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,593.91 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 5,598$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086.7 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,437$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.01 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 2,417$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.93 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 64c | 2,010$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.4 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 1,392$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.27 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 53c | 934.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 906.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.99 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 25c | 562.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 27c | 495.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.73 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked No | 45c | 337.7$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 30c | 306.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 46c | 267.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 27c | 240$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked No | 45c | 221.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 73c | 190.84$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 184.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 29c | 144.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 43c | 122.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 27c | 116.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 37c | 109.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…bafbbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 40c | 92.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 25c | 85.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 58c | 83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed No | 66c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 27c | 79.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 73c | 49.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 52c | 47.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 43.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…2baabacked Yes | 28c | 43.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1390…6d17backed No | 64c | 39.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed No | 33c | 30.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 51c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 74c | 20.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…5814backed No | 73c | 19.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…aaa8backed No | 73c | 19.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 64c | 18.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.