TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88ea…f0d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
242
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 61 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST5020%10 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50.26
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$132.6
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$63.6
Spread: DSC Arminia Bielefeld (-1.5)backed DSC Arminia Bielefeld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$104.4
Karlsruher SC vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$111.8
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$48.6
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$97.2
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$280.8
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53.95
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$165.4
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$178.6
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$241.58
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$136.06
SC Paderborn 07 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$122.4
SC Paderborn 07 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38.91
FC Schalke 04 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+270.4%+$262.8
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$237.6
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$126
SC Preußen Münster vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.87
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.7%+$85.26
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.31
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$145.8
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.13
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$182.9
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+525%+$453.6
Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$64.26
US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$78
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$216
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$396
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$118.8
Will Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$68.4
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+106.6%+$464.39
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$286.2
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$398.58
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$158.6
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$42.81
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$205.2
ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$127.4
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+376.2%+$225.41
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.4
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$104.64
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Tigre vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$197.2
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$332.8
CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+244.8%+$497
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+138.1%+$208.8
AA Estudiantes vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$409.34
AA Estudiantes vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$167.4
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$226.8
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$288
CA Lanús vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$333
CA Huracán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$108
CA Huracán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$215.4
CA Platense vs. CA Independiente: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+614.3%+$649.18
CA River Plate vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$318.6
Racing Club vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$118
SE Palmeiras vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$355.68
Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$113.4
Grêmio FBPA vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$178.2
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Santos FC vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+107.2%+$201.83
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed CR Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$205.2
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$261
CA Lanús vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$127.99
CA Lanús vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+244.8%+$213
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$172.73
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$217.59
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$161.8
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$802.4
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+252.3%+$549.95
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$307.8
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$117.42
Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$205.2
Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+122.2%+$495
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$123.27
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+170.3%+$163.8
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.57
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$119.6
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$111.38
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$98.08
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$98.56
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$151.2
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$79.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$171.72
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$72.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$387
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+222.6%+$372.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$263.12
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$203.93
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+185.7%+$482.86
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+400%+$208
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$178.2
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$199.66
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$226.8
Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+185.7%+$219.14
Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.1%+$257.72
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$192.6
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$118.8
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$230.4
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$59
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$146.25
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+376.2%+$376.19
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$121.5
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.14
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick24cpaid+84.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+156.4%+$158.6
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$122.06
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$199.8
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+185.7%+$144.15
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+376.2%+$284.4
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+354.5%+$421.2
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+233.3%+$315
Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+316.7%+$410.4
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$47.7
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$75.6
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+156.4%+$376.98
Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$147.6
Vitória SC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$61.8
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$172.4
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+614.3%+$159.71
Estoril Praia vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+216%+$145.14
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-67.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$126
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$172.8
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Olympique de Marseille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$114.88
Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$118.8
OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$49.4
FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.47
FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$86.4
FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$138.21
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$337.94
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.64
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$52.2
Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$105.6
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)backed Olympique Lyonnais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$133.16
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$164
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$72
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$79.2
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.72
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$71.95
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$52.44
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$86.4
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.