Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b0b4b454217b99f5621f28e6dde5f08bb899e864fe1a12b2feb868e55d16fe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,122$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked No | 79c | 1,900$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 1,472$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.92 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 67c | 811.5$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.98 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Yes | 31c | 577.28$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 24c | 540$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 24cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 512.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 77c | 259.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 65c | 247.89$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 51c | 242.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Yes | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Yes | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 39c | 51.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…e009backed Yes | 52c | 50.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 79c | 49.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 74c | 47.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 35c | 44.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 51c | 35.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 51c | 35.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed No | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…b110backed Yes | 51c | 24.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 51c | 23.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 51c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…a037backed No | 50c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.