Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31e6dde6eb01130284ba35598562cd80bb993e8ebd3416438517a5295ed44aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 5,312$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.11 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 1,666$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.2 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,237$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.39 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 66c | 1,001$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.43 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 58c | 856.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 778.33$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.97 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 28c | 706.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.01 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Under | 66c | 599.99$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.99 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 62c | 538.74$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.74 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 44c | 287.93$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.24 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 255.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 62c | 192.73$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 55c | 181.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 32c | 160.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 65c | 154.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 121$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 23c | 109.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 101$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…084dbacked Under | 70c | 94.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 34c | 91.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 47c | 74.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 56c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…e009backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Under | 44c | 40.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked Under | 64c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 34c | 36.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 52c | 31.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b8…849ebacked Under | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Over | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 59c | 27.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…dee8backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…e237backed Over | 62c | 18.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Over | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a9…89cfbacked Over | 68c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5this page
- Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.