TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4a62…fa34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+59.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alanyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.66
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$294
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+54.9%+$550.09
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+488.2%+$87.64
FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Will Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$299.5
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$280.34
Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+218.9%+$396.28
Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+737.6%+$1,106.41
Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+256.6%+$508.01
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$161.65
PEC Zwolle vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+264.6%+$264.63
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+150%+$57.38
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.49
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$117.4
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$66.36
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$420.4
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.3
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$134.7
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+257.1%+$280.29
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+477.5%+$104.51
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.26
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$561.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$107.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs S2G Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$202.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.