South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9209dfaa7d37d1467c798b93a71c7f094d0c9483ce891cc8932e9bbafbb8ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 5,541$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.52 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 4,997$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.07 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 3,601$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 2,050$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 46c | 576$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 58c | 570$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.6 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 44c | 556.36$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.56 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 510.91$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 48c | 500$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.95 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 47c | 381.91$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.41 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 43c | 353.7$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 333.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Yes | 28c | 222.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 197$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 193.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 55c | 147.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 139.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 127.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 59c | 105.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…4f2cbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…ae85backed No | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 87.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…c018backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1a…36dcbacked Yes | 44c | 72.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 71.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Yes | 59c | 57.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 70c | 56.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 39c | 53.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 48c | 47.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked No | 40c | 42.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed No | 42c | 40.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…f8c4backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 59c | 30.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed No | 42c | 25.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9d…cd10backed Yes | 58c | 25.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 50c | 23.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-02-06?No won
- Will Club Tijuana vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.