TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x358b…3722

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
577
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT52533.1%174 W · 351 L+21.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 525 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.71
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+681.6%+$98.54
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+248%+$46.97
Showing 25 of 525 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+124.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+693%+$190.98
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+438.2%+$59.46
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+4,232.3%+$463.96
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+437.1%+$82.74
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+203.9%+$44.01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.15
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$19.75
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.22
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.53
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.45
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+111%+$33.56
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+164.3%+$57.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.6%+$9.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$13.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.1%+$4.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.