Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x232342e2a9200b203703a816f9d99d1c6a872333567af16f43d67a255e1a6aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,040,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,250,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,040,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 11,133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b89…d710backed No | 34c | 7,677,159$2,602,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602,184.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 64c | 1,861,114$1,187,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673,236.24 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 67c | 1,235,002$829,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405,220.77 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed No | 34c | 800,000$272,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272,000 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +7.8wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 65c | 798,400$518,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279,439.98 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed No | 37c | 759,229$282,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282,911 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 36c | 707,669$255,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255,241.79 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 32c | 706,974$226,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226,231.65 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 64c | 649,390$418,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231,059.13 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…5ae8backed No | 33c | 520,549$171,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,773.89 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 514,889$331,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183,310.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 33c | 513,097$169,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,322.04 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 33c | 509,989$169,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,196.35 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 32c | 458,874$146,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,881.02 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked No | 32c | 407,067$130,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,261.38 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Yes | 66c | 405,128$267,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,695.69 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed No | 32c | 400,000$128,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,000 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 61c | 397,775$244,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,720.2 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Yes | 67c | 300,000$201,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,000 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 55c | 297,733$162,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,424.77 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 67c | 284,549$191,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,444.36 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 35c | 282,044$97,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,965.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 41c | 257,260$105,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,880.88 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 52c | 253,381$132,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,158.99 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 34c | 249,752$84,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,749.8 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Yes | 67c | 234,328$157,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,328.36 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Yes | 67c | 223,879$149,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,880.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…c428backed No | 33c | 220,000$72,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,600 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Yes | 68c | 215,751$146,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,040.44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 38c | 212,003$79,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,060.18 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 57c | 195,264$111,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,625.65 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 33c | 188,910$61,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,486.19 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 60c | 179,000$108,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,833.39 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 48c | 178,220$86,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,271.96 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 67c | 160,825$107,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,385.77 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Yes | 67c | 150,544$100,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,679.46 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 57c | 143,333$82,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,933.33 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa407…ca38backed Yes | 41c | 134,853$54,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,045.86 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 65c | 131,100$84,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,118.64 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Yes | 66c | 117,691$77,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,014.93 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 63c | 115,890$72,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,431.58 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 60c | 111,234$66,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,888.88 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 68c | 108,248$73,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,045.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 66c | 99,432$65,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,151.98 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 35c | 95,733$33,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,168.96 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 63c | 92,302$58,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,830.44 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 59c | 87,191$51,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,675.67 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…3146backed No | 52c | 83,180$43,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,076.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…674bbacked Yes | 65c | 83,135$54,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,097.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 67c | 80,100$53,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,434 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 66c | 80,000$52,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,200 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Yes | 68c | 80,000$54,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,600 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 67c | 76,898$51,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,583.99 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 66c | 75,565$49,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,577.43 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 32c | 72,385$23,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,163.17 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…6b71backed No | 33c | 71,999$23,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,759.78 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 68c | 70,098$47,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,431.25 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes | 67c | 70,000$46,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 34c | 69,999$23,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,699.69 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Yes | 61c | 69,216$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,215.69 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 34c | 65,942$22,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,607.81 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 63c | 62,715$39,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,895.25 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 61,998$21,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,389.16 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 31c | 60,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,599.85 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 35c | 59,999$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.78 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 66c | 58,047$38,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,735.96 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Yes | 56c | 57,186$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,186.31 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Yes | 53c | 57,126$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,126.35 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 33c | 56,198$18,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,794.76 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 66c | 54,996$36,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,648.63 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 60c | 50,017$30,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,005.7 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 67c | 50,000$33,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 65c | 49,000$31,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,150 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed Yes | 32c | 46,892$14,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,916.52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed No | 64c | 46,195$29,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,463.99 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 35c | 44,688$15,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,681.97 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 32c | 43,513$13,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,924.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…9a82backed Yes | 67c | 43,248$28,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,271.97 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 32c | 43,131$13,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,801.92 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 34c | 41,922$14,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,253.45 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 40,964$26,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,084.41 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 60c | 40,927$24,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,525.91 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 68c | 40,388$27,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,924.07 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 66c | 40,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 34c | 38,612$13,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,071.08 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 67c | 38,566$25,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,784.72 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 52c | 38,433$19,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,455.22 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…c8a3backed Yes | 66c | 37,742$24,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,832.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 67c | 37,313$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,313.43 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 37c | 37,313$13,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,956.35 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 65c | 37,128$23,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,162.35 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 70c | 35,254$24,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,669.2 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 65c | 35,000$22,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,100 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 56c | 35,000$19,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,250 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 68c | 34,059$23,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,777.09 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 33c | 33,875$11,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,178.75 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes | 66c | 33,333$21,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,444.33 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 34c | 32,559$10,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,957.73 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes | 66c | 32,552$21,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,067.68 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Yes | 68c | 32,353$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,352.94 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?this page
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?No won
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.