TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6550…8451

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
327
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT21738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 217 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$134.94
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,764.36
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.11
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$89.04
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$502.24
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$2,217.97
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+94%+$855.05
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$163.79
France vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,174.23
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+172.2%+$210.73
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,174.45
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,901Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+295.9%+$11,543.05
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,716Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$479.02
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,399.83
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,135.98
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$243.81
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,202.23
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+135.5%+$16.61
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,076.27
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.77
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,951.95
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.44
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.73
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,765.43
Showing 25 of 217 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40,506Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+52%+$21,051.24
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41,253.89
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$792.16
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,439Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+513.3%+$7,385.25
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$263.31
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$762.34
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,764.17
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.45
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.04
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.23
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,964.78
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$110.86
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$978.26
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.7
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$312.75
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.59
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,935.9
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$1,268.39
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,202.51
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$276.98
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.45
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$686.7
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.57
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.07
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.12
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$874.5
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29%+$101.8
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140.12
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.05
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$94.96
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.41
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$24.74
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$134.9
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.27
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$78.56
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.4
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$163.01
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$650.19
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35%+$123.57
Shymkent: Andrej Nedic vs Sergey Fominbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.96
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.1
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.93
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78%+$378.95
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$41.83
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$40.74
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.43
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$13.83
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$15.77
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$48.55
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$106.31
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$131.24
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.