NBA · resolved market
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf389adc069a4d713e1ddb6348c96afd6df78e6bf676c7dce1780135186d90e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,627,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,693,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,627,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Yes | 53c | 167,832$88,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,568.59 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 56c | 150,000$84,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,999.94 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Yes | 72c | 108,788$78,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,734.55 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 39c | 105,623$41,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,353.02 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Yes | 60c | 89,152$53,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,302.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 62c | 86,074$52,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,979.5 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 36c | 67,429$24,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,861.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f426backed Yes | 79c | 66,254$52,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,355.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 44c | 60,524$26,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,670.1 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 34c | 60,097$20,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,938.03 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked No | 32c | 59,724$18,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,822.72 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…2cc0backed Yes | 66c | 56,772$37,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,469.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Yes | 53c | 51,354$27,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,344.29 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed No | 40c | 50,238$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,238.22 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 47c | 47,644$22,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,251.55 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…fb31backed No | 53c | 40,122$21,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,857.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed No | 41c | 40,000$16,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,599.9 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…3364backed No | 51c | 38,800$19,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,012 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 55c | 37,511$20,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,811.25 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…33ccbacked Yes | 47c | 36,188$17,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,008.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…66a0backed Yes | 47c | 35,799$16,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,825.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…42b8backed No | 53c | 31,913$16,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,999.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Yes | 79c | 31,761$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…8cd5backed Yes | 58c | 30,698$17,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,762.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 40c | 26,547$10,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,928.43 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed No | 29c | 26,434$7,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,677.87 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed No | 41c | 23,789$9,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,018.16 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 58c | 22,478$13,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,036.96 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 48c | 21,634$10,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,355.21 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 68c | 21,366$14,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,528.84 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 34c | 20,045$6,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,218.85 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked No | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 34c | 19,964$6,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,272.98 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13da…3302backed Yes | 69c | 19,840$13,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,689.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62af…ae67backed Yes | 49c | 19,552$9,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,580.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…af02backed Yes | 49c | 19,248$9,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,431.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 45c | 19,230$8,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,650.71 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ff…013abacked Yes | 51c | 15,895$8,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,052.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Yes | 61c | 14,565$8,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,883 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Yes | 66c | 13,346$8,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,841.41 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes | 79c | 12,687$10,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,019.05 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…0cd4backed No | 36c | 12,500$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,949.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked No | 32c | 12,363$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,363.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae8…f254backed Yes | 51c | 12,249$6,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,247.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed No | 34c | 12,210$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,021.34 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd8…ec3bbacked No | 49c | 12,178$5,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,210.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 42c | 12,146$5,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,044.68 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 62c | 11,206$6,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,907.71 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 55c | 11,127$6,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,103.23 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 50c | 10,614$5,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,312.57 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 38c | 10,313$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,355.7 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 49c | 10,298$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,258.04 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes | 65c | 10,027$6,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,566.72 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 40c | 10,000$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,978.61 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 34c | 9,899$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,539.46 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…ae12backed Yes | 53c | 9,406$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…d6ddbacked Yes | 58c | 9,401$5,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Yes | 68c | 9,289$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270.29 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f4…5e6bbacked Yes | 65c | 9,250$6,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,021.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes | 52c | 9,014$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…5732backed Yes | 68c | 8,912$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,079.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…60c0backed No | 39c | 8,879$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,379.46 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…ca86backed Yes | 69c | 8,696$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…cf09backed Yes | 58c | 8,630$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 64c | 8,329$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357.63 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 59c | 8,061$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,768.35 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 22c | 7,952$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 25c | 7,701$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,769.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 44c | 7,617$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.59 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed No | 46c | 7,000$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.97 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked No | 29c | 6,574$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.14 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…a330backed Yes | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 5,844$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.47 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…759bbacked Yes | 59c | 5,616$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.54 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 71c | 5,550$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.3 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed No | 55c | 5,474$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.44 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -13.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 67c | 5,282$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.53 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 51c | 5,269$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.44 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…be9bbacked No | 49c | 5,057$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…d1f5backed Yes | 51c | 5,016$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 46c | 4,912$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.26 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd90…2541backed Yes | 51c | 4,838$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 55cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…6c9fbacked Yes | 51c | 4,622$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 60c | 4,445$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.97 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190d…d1ffbacked No | 49c | 4,433$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…b47abacked Yes | 51c | 4,387$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…b153backed No | 49c | 4,364$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856a…f95ebacked No | 49c | 4,216$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…527abacked No | 49c | 4,178$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…ab56backed Yes | 51c | 4,174$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 35c | 4,155$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.55 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…dffdbacked Yes | 51c | 4,149$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Yes | 45c | 4,147$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.96 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…f5bfbacked No | 49c | 4,098$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef8…8b40backed Yes | 67c | 4,070$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…dbcabacked Yes | 51c | 4,063$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 43c | 4,000$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.98 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.