NBA · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ec2361e5dcd25c350d315518830b2315e2229e1bef9992013a9b98931f328d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $714,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $792,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 82,353$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.24 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 2c | 73,503$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.88 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 58,884$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 2c | 18,455$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.29 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 2c | 15,993$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.96 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 10,646$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 2c | 8,126$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 0c | 7,399$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 2c | 6,486$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,415$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…3adabacked Yes | 3c | 4,963$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 4,704$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Yes | 3c | 4,267$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…2dcfbacked Yes | 2c | 4,056$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 4,010$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 3c | 3,338$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…7db1backed Yes | 1c | 2,973$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 2c | 2,908$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 1c | 2,562$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,444$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,137$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 1,711$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…3a00backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +332%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…5d33backed Yes | 2c | 1,545$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 1,256$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…38ddbacked Yes | 2c | 666.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 648.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 3c | 566$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…68fbbacked Yes | 2c | 512.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 464.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.