NBA · resolved market
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc425460121141efda48994bdd8991fddb7c145f31591b1b114cb6a7b029e4404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,052,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,038,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,052,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 6c | 81,684$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785.05 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 62,025$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.4 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes | 3c | 21,527$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.03 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 6c | 19,164$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.85 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 8c | 16,119$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.83 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,660$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 3c | 10,955$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.55 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 10,950$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.71 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d345backed Yes | 1c | 10,100$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 9,685$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 1c | 7,475$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 7,339$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 2c | 5,788$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes | 4c | 5,359$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 5,185$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 5,074$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.29 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 3c | 4,958$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 1c | 4,916$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 3c | 4,816$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 3c | 4,541$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 5c | 4,187$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.55 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 6c | 4,047$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.79 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Yes | 2c | 4,023$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 6c | 3,994$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.56 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b12dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,856$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 3,839$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 3,562$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.89 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…fb66backed Yes | 2c | 3,539$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…4f48backed Yes | 2c | 3,372$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 5c | 3,244$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.78 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 4c | 3,100$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,708$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.61 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 2,675$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,631$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…5d33backed Yes | 7c | 2,480$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 9c | 2,372$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.41 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb67b…0e09backed Yes | 1c | 2,347$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…591abacked Yes | 1c | 2,148$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 3c | 2,077$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…7db1backed Yes | 1c | 2,073$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…759bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,997$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,851$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 1,814$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eeb…3c13backed Yes | 3c | 1,773$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…26ddbacked Yes | 3c | 1,741$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…3df9backed Yes | 3c | 1,703$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…b9dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Yes | 3c | 1,474$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 4c | 1,254$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a0…bc3cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Yes | 11c | 1,182$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,133$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 8c | 1,116$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…b806backed Yes | 1c | 1,009$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…9403backed Yes | 1c | 1,004$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7660…7ad9backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…8ecabacked Yes | 5c | 740.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…1f41backed Yes | 5c | 731.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 728.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8350…93ffbacked Yes | 6c | 703.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Yes | 11c | 700$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 2c | 699.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 5c | 650.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc7…2415backed Yes | 3c | 634.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…b707backed Yes | 6c | 630.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…e7d1backed Yes | 3c | 608$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…ce56backed Yes | 9c | 555.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07f8backed Yes | 3c | 551.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf675…dfbfbacked Yes | 6c | 545.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 526.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 512.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 3c | 468.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…4ebabacked Yes | 5c | 450$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…0163backed Yes | 3c | 419.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…cc1cbacked Yes | 3c | 394.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Yes | 5c | 380$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Yes | 7c | 379.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…3f04backed Yes | 14c | 357.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…7018backed Yes | 7c | 348.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…660bbacked Yes | 3c | 348.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes | 9c | 306.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 6c | 298.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…9862backed Yes | 10c | 288$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Yes | 6c | 277.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Yes | 5c | 272.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 16c | 252$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…46d0backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 8c | 240.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…99efbacked Yes | 6c | 198.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 9c | 194.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 189.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 6c | 179.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.