TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,052,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,038,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,052,813 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde48…30e7backed Yes6c81,684$4,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,785.05333%1 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes2c62,025$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.439435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes3c21,527$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.031520%3 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+138.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes6c19,164$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.85240%0 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes8c16,119$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.8387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Yes0c14,660$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.062416.7%4 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes3c10,955$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.55378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c10,950$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7140133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5f0…d345backed Yes1c10,100$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.312536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+115.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b1…aaadbacked Yes1c10,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-57.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c9,685$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1538239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes1c7,475$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.38372.7%1 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c7,339$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.685213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes2c5,788$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1722750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes4c5,359$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c5,185$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.76844.8%4 W · 80 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+489.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c5,074$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.2960834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481a…8ee4backed Yes3c4,958$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.99185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes1c4,916$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes3c4,816$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8358740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Yes3c4,541$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2211137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes5c4,187$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5525840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes6c4,047$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.792,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes2c4,023$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes6c3,994$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.56234.3%1 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5554…b12dbacked Yes4c3,856$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.75140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes1c3,839$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0446426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes6c3,562$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.89263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b0…fb66backed Yes2c3,539$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.241030%3 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick14cpaid+206.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb78f…4f48backed Yes2c3,372$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes5c3,244$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7820050.5%101 W · 99 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes4c3,100$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Yes1c3,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9915724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes6c2,708$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.61296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes1c2,675$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.75230%0 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes1c2,631$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.74200%0 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x293b…5d33backed Yes7c2,480$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.29190%0 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes9c2,372$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4134654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb67b…0e09backed Yes1c2,347$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88bf…591abacked Yes1c2,148$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206238.7%24 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes3c2,077$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.891,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1feb…7db1backed Yes1c2,073$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3c…759bbacked Yes10c1,997$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009742.3%41 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes1c1,851$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+112.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes1c1,814$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.05437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eeb…3c13backed Yes3c1,773$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…26ddbacked Yes3c1,741$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de4…3df9backed Yes3c1,703$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc574…b9dabacked Yes1c1,650$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.356033.3%20 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes2c1,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Yes3c1,474$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7919547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes4c1,254$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.78422.4%1 W · 41 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-17.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4a0…bc3cbacked Yes4c1,210$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd913…2cf7backed Yes11c1,182$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes3c1,133$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.793525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-34.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes8c1,116$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.740448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e9…b806backed Yes1c1,009$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8db…9403backed Yes1c1,004$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2940%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7660…7ad9backed Yes1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e3…8ecabacked Yes5c740.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf998…1f41backed Yes5c731.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1280%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c728.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9515010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8350…93ffbacked Yes6c703.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+201.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Yes11c700$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7454853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes2c699.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+116.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes5c650.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4415638.5%60 W · 96 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bc7…2415backed Yes3c634.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-59.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d04…b707backed Yes6c630.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…e7d1backed Yes3c608$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.853234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2534…41c9backed Yes9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544520%9 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…ce56backed Yes9c555.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012044.2%53 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617a…07f8backed Yes3c551.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf675…dfbfbacked Yes6c545.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-62.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes3c526.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.389220.7%19 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c512.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.251,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes3c500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.423141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes3c468.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+102.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b90…4ebabacked Yes5c450$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1468…0163backed Yes3c419.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7334…cc1cbacked Yes3c394.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.342642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Yes5c380$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.135531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Yes7c379.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255549.1%27 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bef…3f04backed Yes14c357.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-61.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd72…7018backed Yes7c348.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.781827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+68.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d6…660bbacked Yes3c348.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes9c306.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.564231%13 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes6c298.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0334641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981f…9862backed Yes10c288$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Yes6c277.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.456735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Yes5c272.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0819649%96 W · 100 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes16c252$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0739449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c4…46d0backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-67.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes8c240.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78020%16 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e99…99efbacked Yes6c198.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.282147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e2…4d16backed Yes9c194.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.22722.2%6 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes8c189.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.772,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes6c179.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4820140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.