NBA · resolved market
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5deeed404db866c400ba881b376216c3c2bf0b3a3e9372cc61a1395ac3d83e37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $395,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Yes | 18c | 38,923$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 7c | 31,013$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.44 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Yes | 13c | 26,736$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 13c | 17,289$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.83 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 8c | 13,931$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.09 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes | 14c | 11,160$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 11c | 9,421$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.3 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 76c | 8,106$6,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…a017backed Yes | 14c | 7,940$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…e58abacked Yes | 12c | 7,289$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.88 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 7,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 9c | 6,754$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.54 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes | 10c | 6,713$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.61 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 7c | 6,225$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.43 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 6c | 5,499$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.44 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 10c | 5,400$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…759bbacked Yes | 14c | 5,209$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Yes | 14c | 4,260$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 14c | 3,547$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.77 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 15c | 3,285$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.38 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Yes | 14c | 2,802$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 15c | 2,506$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.37 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,441$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.99 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 14c | 2,200$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.9 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,797$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…cdcbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…fd5fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes | 11c | 1,347$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 12c | 1,338$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 20c | 1,311$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.01 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…e74cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,297$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 9c | 1,280$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Yes | 11c | 1,168$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 13c | 1,066$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 15c | 1,039$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,015$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.96 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…35a9backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…a891backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 16c | 914$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 15c | 899.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…dd71backed Yes | 15c | 825.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 14c | 799.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…a38ebacked Yes | 14c | 785.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 15c | 772.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ce…415fbacked Yes | 14c | 751.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…f90cbacked Yes | 15c | 719.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5967…750dbacked Yes | 14c | 717.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…2de3backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4555…220cbacked Yes | 14c | 690.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 13c | 684.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…c052backed Yes | 14c | 648.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 13c | 618.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 4c | 604.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…029abacked Yes | 18c | 603.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 12c | 600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 5c | 593.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321f…af29backed Yes | 13c | 557.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07f8backed Yes | 12c | 550$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f96…ad0fbacked Yes | 12c | 536.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…4b6ebacked Yes | 21c | 531.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…0906backed Yes | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb6…da3ebacked Yes | 17c | 493.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 15c | 482.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Yes | 13c | 469.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 425$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4e…3d91backed Yes | 5c | 395.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850e…08b3backed Yes | 15c | 389$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba1…e0b1backed Yes | 14c | 362.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 7c | 358.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9f53backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e983backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 6c | 351$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…d07cbacked Yes | 11c | 350$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…f67dbacked Yes | 4c | 348.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 343$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…d454backed Yes | 9c | 338.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7d…332fbacked Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Yes | 11c | 304.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 11c | 301.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…b422backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4c…f22ebacked Yes | 13c | 299.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…a82bbacked Yes | 11c | 299.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…fa57backed Yes | 15c | 299.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 5c | 290$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…b58ebacked Yes | 5c | 288.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 12c | 279.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 9c | 278.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Yes | 14c | 270.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…eda9backed Yes | 16c | 259.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…8fd3backed Yes | 12c | 259.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 14c | 252.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…1a7abacked Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…926abacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…ed79backed Yes | 12c | 247.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.