TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6aee…fad4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
331
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT24557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 245 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halysbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,092.51
Roland Garros WTA: Caty McNally vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$279.81
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,787Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$1,113.73
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.33
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.29
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$254.05
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,517.96
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.39
Madrid Open: Elvina Kalieva vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$362.09
Madrid Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Tereza Valentovabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$284.49
Savannah: Andres Andrade vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$114.71
Abidjan: Michael Geerts vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,565.47
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,555Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$6,458.46
Madrid Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkovabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,454.41
Abidjan: Aziz Dougaz vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,089Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$5,304.87
Abidjan: Massimo Giunta vs Andrew Fentybacked Andrew Fenty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,015.67
Madrid Open: Petra Marcinko vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,441Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,338.24
Madrid Open, Qualification: Zsombor Piros vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,986.7
Madrid Open, Qualification: Ksenia Efremova vs Lulu Sunbacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,675.27
Oeiras 4: Francesca Jones vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,703.27
Madrid Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$4,269.49
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Chris Rodeschbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,377.51
Madrid Open, Qualification: Lola Radivojevic vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,903Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$2,163.04
Madrid Open, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450.5
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Filsbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,681.02
Showing 25 of 245 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,000
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,958Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+379.8%+$11,234.73
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$4,268.44
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,727
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$4,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,720.29
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$541.03
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$5,801.06
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,070.85
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$8,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,500
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$16,739.13
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$8,602.56
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+214.9%+$5,244.78
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,963.66
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+308.7%+$16,980.32
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,545.19
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT3616.7%6 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$7,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,960.75
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,974.37
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.51
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,807Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,807.01
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$6,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,965.96
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,934.23
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,495.36
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,528.2
Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$9,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,980.68
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,198.84
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,960.73
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$6,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,753.9
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,707.73
Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,966.33
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,777.27
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,489.19
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$19,220.29
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,655.29
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,962.87
Purdue Boilermakers vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$824.88
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron Zipsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,687.74
Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,989.17
Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU Ramsbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.27
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+489.9%+$20,603.24
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13,388Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$18,536.02
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$2,443.9
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,451Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,772.83
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,830Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+34%+$1,643.47
Predators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+200.6%+$1,002.97
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,330.41
All 6 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,922Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,729.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.