TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Purdue Boilermakers vs. UCLA Bruins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Purdue Boilermakersof Purdue Boilermakers, UCLA Bruins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,055 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6027…4320backed UCLA Bruins25c5,918$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.551,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Purdue Boilermakers75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25012364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed UCLA Bruins31c2,702$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.883616.7%6 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed UCLA Bruins28c2,160$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.8114325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UCLA Bruins26c1,938$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.781,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed UCLA Bruins16c1,906$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.666752.2%35 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Purdue Boilermakers73c1,757$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.751,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed UCLA Bruins9c1,108$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.712433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked UCLA Bruins12c1,073$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8146246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed UCLA Bruins10c1,054$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1242934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked UCLA Bruins15c1,036$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4118954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Purdue Boilermakers78c1,004$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.463,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Purdue Boilermakers75c934.82$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.711,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Purdue Boilermakers79c913.79$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.133,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked UCLA Bruins16c798.15$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.816023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Purdue Boilermakers74c667.19$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.472,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked UCLA Bruins25c636.55$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1427947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1967…0debbacked UCLA Bruins16c622.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.536826.5%18 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked UCLA Bruins26c595.96$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9537142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed UCLA Bruins26c504.38$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.321,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed UCLA Bruins21c499.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.856720.9%14 W · 53 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Purdue Boilermakers75c496.72$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.187871.8%56 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UCLA Bruins13c412.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.591,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked UCLA Bruins26c397.31$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.314151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed UCLA Bruins24c304.8$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.517655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed UCLA Bruins28c304.68$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.242,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Purdue Boilermakers75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7541554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed UCLA Bruins17c291.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.757553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked UCLA Bruins18c280.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7410553.3%56 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked UCLA Bruins20c267.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8925829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed UCLA Bruins26c263.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1525837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UCLA Bruins17c229.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed UCLA Bruins16c198.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.487247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Purdue Boilermakers75c181.8$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.451,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed UCLA Bruins18c175.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.079554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5b…aab5backed UCLA Bruins21c172.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.395448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed UCLA Bruins19c168.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.745152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UCLA Bruins24c167.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.965,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61b…6559backed UCLA Bruins16c149.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.732536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Purdue Boilermakers75c133.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3313560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed UCLA Bruins20c117.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.517122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked UCLA Bruins26c114.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.835646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed UCLA Bruins13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136030%18 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8d…ea07backed UCLA Bruins30c86.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UCLA Bruins20c78.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.931,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x10e9…d331backed UCLA Bruins21c77.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.583423.5%8 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-51.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked UCLA Bruins14c73.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.315149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc24a…66a9backed UCLA Bruins19c70.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6740%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd683…0e40backed Purdue Boilermakers76c69.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.591984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Purdue Boilermakers76c65.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.692548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Purdue Boilermakers78c62.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.837652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UCLA Bruins18c61.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.981,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa954…0691backed Purdue Boilermakers80c40.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked UCLA Bruins25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Purdue Boilermakers75c35.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9811552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Purdue Boilermakers75c33.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.289454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3a…b960backed UCLA Bruins36c29.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed Purdue Boilermakers80c19.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.095470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe4…52d7backed Purdue Boilermakers76c19.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.774468.2%30 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ca…04b5backed Purdue Boilermakers77c18.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.281050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+88.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.