TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1967…0deb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT6826.5%18 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.28
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+261.2%+$518.78
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.24
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.96
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.29
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.95
Purdue Boilermakers vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.53
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.33
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Pacific Tigers vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.76
Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Morehead State Eaglesbacked Morehead State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.24
UC Davis Aggies vs. Long Beach State Beachbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.78
Bucknell Bison vs. Navy Midshipmenbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.61
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$149.08
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.09
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$58.76
Wichita State Shockers vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$157.71
Northeastern Huskies vs. William & Mary Tribebacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$99.55
Temple Owls vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+140.5%+$278.56
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Grambling State Tigersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$99.13
Washington State Cougars vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+379%+$339.17
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$79.75
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT3732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Hornetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.97
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+754.1%+$754.1
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.52
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$525
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$354.55
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$44.62
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+37%+$10.36
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+74.4%+$111.55
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Omega vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+128.3%+$25.65
Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs HAVU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - JB Pro League Season 2 Group stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+40.1%+$8.02
Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs FarmVille (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Playoffsbacked Zomblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TNT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked TNT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.