TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Santa Clara Broncos vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gonzaga Bulldogsof Santa Clara Broncos, Gonzaga Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,968 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Santa Clara Broncos12c16,856$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.4149345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Santa Clara Broncos24c8,106$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.4518954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661b…17babacked Gonzaga Bulldogs78c5,085$3,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.81770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Gonzaga Bulldogs66c4,563$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.512,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca28…54a7backed Gonzaga Bulldogs78c3,890$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.783363.6%21 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b00…03a9backed Santa Clara Broncos21c2,388$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.114025%10 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Santa Clara Broncos22c2,060$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.2521262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Santa Clara Broncos36c1,787$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.423,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Santa Clara Broncos31c1,642$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.535143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Santa Clara Broncos22c1,504$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.295,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Santa Clara Broncos22c1,348$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.562,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Santa Clara Broncos23c1,119$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Gonzaga Bulldogs76c1,039$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.3921149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs72c1,007$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.825254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Santa Clara Broncos24c993.62$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.4725043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Santa Clara Broncos39c841.43$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9815243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Gonzaga Bulldogs59c584.81$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.7725130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Santa Clara Broncos14c581.52$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.411,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Gonzaga Bulldogs69c512.51$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8855840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Santa Clara Broncos25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Santa Clara Broncos39c439.9$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.563342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs76c318.13$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.352,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Gonzaga Bulldogs77c301.23$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9631646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Santa Clara Broncos8c299.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9442934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Santa Clara Broncos22c297$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.661,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs69c277.99$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.316858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Gonzaga Bulldogs61c260$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.420548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Gonzaga Bulldogs77c259.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7941554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Santa Clara Broncos23c244.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3540755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c988backed Santa Clara Broncos24c243.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Santa Clara Broncos38c237.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.234,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Santa Clara Broncos50c235.23$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.891850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Santa Clara Broncos22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Santa Clara Broncos45c222.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1445351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Gonzaga Bulldogs73c219.31$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0819057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Santa Clara Broncos39c195.85$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…b9e1backed Gonzaga Bulldogs78c193.83$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.743354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Santa Clara Broncos35c161.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.59554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs65c156.92$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Santa Clara Broncos22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3324432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Gonzaga Bulldogs71c138.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3127358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Gonzaga Bulldogs77c130.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.996767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Gonzaga Bulldogs60c115.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3264647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Santa Clara Broncos23c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.357448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d23…2008backed Gonzaga Bulldogs75c104.7$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.671656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Santa Clara Broncos22c103.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.676640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Santa Clara Broncos38c102.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Gonzaga Bulldogs34c100.2$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1312540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Santa Clara Broncos32c99.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0225829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Santa Clara Broncos23c99.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.952,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Santa Clara Broncos31c99.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7711136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Santa Clara Broncos22c90.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.885844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e44…9d02backed Gonzaga Bulldogs64c89.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf602…c172backed Gonzaga Bulldogs61c80.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.196159%36 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Santa Clara Broncos32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.69845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb68d…9b4abacked Gonzaga Bulldogs63c78.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.851816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Santa Clara Broncos24c74.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8923331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15bc…398cbacked Santa Clara Broncos28c70.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Santa Clara Broncos28c67.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.581,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Santa Clara Broncos26c66.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.091625%4 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Gonzaga Bulldogs77c64.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8413450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs77c64.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.846100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+102.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb63…9771backed Gonzaga Bulldogs77c64.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs70c61.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5334343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fae…c000backed Santa Clara Broncos41c60.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.79812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-80.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Gonzaga Bulldogs76c59.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1111552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Gonzaga Bulldogs57c57.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.723,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs78c56.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6771655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1967…0debbacked Santa Clara Broncos34c49.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.876826.5%18 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d92…1cf3backed Gonzaga Bulldogs49c48.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e05…ae77backed Santa Clara Broncos36c44.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.871464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+57.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed Gonzaga Bulldogs68c36.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6811654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe399…aa44backed Gonzaga Bulldogs62c31.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.161070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x660f…ec30backed Gonzaga Bulldogs66c30.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed Santa Clara Broncos37c29.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.085470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Gonzaga Bulldogs75c23.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.886851.5%35 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Santa Clara Broncos47c22.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7115240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.813147.3%62 W · 69 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs67c19.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.53956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4963…e0a5backed Gonzaga Bulldogs78c13.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.91366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.