TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e05…ae77

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$44.99
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.69
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+172.4%+$39.29
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.92
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+180.2%+$119.68
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.51
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.07
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$43.93
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.73
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.27
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.84
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+91%+$100.54
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.03
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+50.2%+$5.69
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.2%+$6.14
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+34.7%+$3.84
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+145.1%+$39.77
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+210.2%+$76.76
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+220.7%+$26.49
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+57.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.65
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.16
Missouri State Bears vs. Florida International Golden Panthersbacked Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.11
Maryland Terrapins vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$93.4
Syracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$51.26
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+201.2%+$186.26
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150.3%+$22.35
Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$21.9
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.28
Maryland Terrapins vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+363.7%+$36.4
USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203.5%+$34.59
Houston Cougars vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+89.5%+$11.01
Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+180.9%+$50.58
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.03
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$45.8
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.57
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.38
Canadiens vs. Sharksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.05
Predators vs. Starsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.99
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+77.4%+$14.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+614.3%+$85.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$27.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israelbacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.