NBA · resolved market
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x777c4bb2709eddf95ac6bba5f890be834b120ccc2441c189369cd5befb805f68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 3,357$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.05 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…72e4backed No | 70c | 2,429$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 39c | 2,307$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.05 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…7576backed Yes | 74c | 2,037$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 58c | 1,640$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.1 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…22dcbacked No | 39c | 1,508$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed No | 34c | 1,449$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.46 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,439$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…da92backed Yes | 24c | 1,297$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.89 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 76c | 1,280$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked No | 72c | 1,240$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,208$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 76c | 1,206$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…e50fbacked No | 80c | 1,079$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 68c | 1,050$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 51c | 1,036$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.89 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked No | 74c | 1,006$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 20c | 991.1$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes | 20c | 989$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 75c | 972$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed Yes | 23c | 933$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…e296backed No | 80c | 929$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed Yes | 20c | 882$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…d587backed No | 45c | 877.64$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b7d3backed No | 80c | 869$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed No | 80c | 830$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 75c | 827$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.21 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 43c | 817.03$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.68 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Yes | 46c | 790.23$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.26 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes | 51c | 779.34$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 27c | 748$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ed…7a3fbacked Yes | 20c | 740$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed Yes | 24c | 735$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 25c | 730$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 10c | 725.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…e29abacked No | 76c | 725$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed No | 73c | 698$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 24c | 692$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…c5f8backed Yes | 71c | 686.55$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5967…750dbacked Yes | 74c | 679.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked Yes | 22c | 669$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…d298backed Yes | 73c | 667$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…8e46backed Yes | 24c | 666$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…4c53backed No | 76c | 650$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 76c | 643$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.32 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed Yes | 24c | 643$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…4253backed Yes | 23c | 638.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 46c | 637.93$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.57 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 618.92$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.34 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 72c | 615.89$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed No | 80c | 605$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb8…3220backed Yes | 57c | 602.09$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed No | 75c | 602$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes | 67c | 600.42$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4637backed Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 24c | 597$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…0f0fbacked No | 75c | 595$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Yes | 24c | 590$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed No | 39c | 585.49$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.61 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed No | 80c | 584$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 53c | 578.35$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.55 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 76c | 578$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 26c | 569$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed No | 75c | 542.5$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 25c | 539$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed No | 78c | 536$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed Yes | 24c | 525$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…cd52backed Yes | 20c | 516$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes | 20c | 513$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 512.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.71 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…2d87backed No | 80c | 496$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…8ec9backed Yes | 25c | 484$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 25c | 476.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed No | 80c | 462$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…eb6fbacked Yes | 50c | 456.95$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0451backed Yes | 25c | 449$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 51c | 439.21$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 27c | 435$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 16c | 432.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Yes | 52c | 431.1$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.36 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed Yes | 37c | 430$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +167.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes | 26c | 427$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 78c | 424$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…cc36backed No | 61c | 424$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked No | 80c | 421$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed No | 80c | 419$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 53c | 418.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.82 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 57c | 417.08$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed No | 70c | 414.66$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…db2abacked Yes | 20c | 408$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 19c | 404.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 55c | 400.38$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed No | 80c | 398$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 75c | 382$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked No | 75c | 369$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed Yes | 18c | 369$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ja Morant be traded this season?this page
- Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?No won
- Will James Harden be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?No won
- Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges be traded this season?No won
- Will Trae Young be traded this season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.