NBA · resolved market
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55f7348c21f3f8af9c46072f614e63e386d8f2eac19fc159d67acbf7f7eb2db9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xffdc…0cf1backed No | 25c | 10,129$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…cabebacked Yes | 75c | 4,087$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d3…212ebacked Yes | 75c | 3,159$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e9…ef05backed Yes | 75c | 2,883$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 67c | 2,242$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed No | 26c | 1,950$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.87 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked No | 24c | 1,847$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.34 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked No | 26c | 1,644$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 64c | 1,640$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.52 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 22c | 1,636$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.92 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed Yes | 63c | 1,585$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 31c | 1,423$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.07 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed Yes | 66c | 1,400$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 27c | 1,396$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.97 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…e392backed No | 34c | 1,388$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed No | 19c | 1,305$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 74c | 1,272$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.49 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 66c | 1,245$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.98 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked No | 23c | 1,244$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.95 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,241$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked No | 34c | 1,219$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.46 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked No | 30c | 1,204$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed No | 38c | 1,204$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 68c | 1,180$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 59c | 1,164$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed No | 32c | 1,163$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…1f63backed No | 19c | 1,110$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,109$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.41 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 68c | 1,108$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No | 30c | 1,091$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.71 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 30c | 1,077$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.07 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked No | 21c | 1,069$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No | 29c | 1,046$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed No | 18c | 1,039$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed Yes | 63c | 1,024$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,004$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.65 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed No | 32c | 988$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked No | 34c | 981$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed Yes | 73c | 973$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 73c | 957$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed Yes | 58c | 949$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.58 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 71c | 947$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.63 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 21c | 941$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed No | 41c | 941$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 41c | 939$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed Yes | 66c | 927$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 37c | 922$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes | 66c | 916$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 38c | 908$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 72c | 904$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked Yes | 73c | 879$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 70c | 870$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed No | 17c | 850$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed No | 29c | 849$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 73c | 847$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed No | 27c | 828$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.77 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 25c | 812$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 61c | 807$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…a152backed No | 17c | 804$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 79c | 798$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 69c | 792$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.66 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed No | 20c | 784$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 29c | 768$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 21c | 764$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 78c | 757$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 41c | 756$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed No | 41c | 750$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes | 66c | 747$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed No | 29c | 746$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 22c | 746$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 19c | 740$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…1837backed No | 22c | 739$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 71c | 735$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked No | 19c | 731$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 77c | 724$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 70c | 719$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed No | 34c | 716$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 59c | 703$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 38c | 699$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.17 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 80c | 695$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…b919backed Yes | 71c | 690$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked No | 42c | 689$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…cd5cbacked Yes | 60c | 686$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed Yes | 68c | 681$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…8919backed No | 22c | 677$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 58c | 676$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed No | 19c | 668$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 21c | 664$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…62e9backed No | 18c | 662$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 78c | 655$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 80c | 654$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed No | 35c | 652$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 65c | 652$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…90c4backed No | 20c | 651$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed Yes | 80c | 649$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed No | 19c | 645$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 70c | 643$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 29c | 642$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 25c | 639$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?this page
- Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?No won
- Will Ja Morant be traded this season?No won
- Will James Harden be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges be traded this season?No won
- Will Trae Young be traded this season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.