NBA · resolved market
Will Trae Young be traded this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0434b47c5633a58b89514ea03e174c7805b762ff6e4203a062685df97deff6ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,699$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Yes | 21c | 1,863$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.66 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 80c | 1,370$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.29 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes | 16c | 1,188$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 3c | 1,064$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 30c | 1,038$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.01 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 58c | 1,012$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.04 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 73c | 975.24$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.58 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed No | 51c | 948$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked Yes | 18c | 930$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…7763backed No | 41c | 918$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 61c | 912$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 60c | 901$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.4 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 18c | 876$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 24c | 875$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 59c | 845$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.45 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 62c | 840$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.9 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed No | 76c | 822$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 18c | 788$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed No | 41c | 782$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 16c | 768.41$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 78c | 765$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.64 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed No | 76c | 758$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.08 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 24c | 735$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 41c | 735$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.19 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…fab9backed Yes | 18c | 717$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 61c | 709$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 60c | 651$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…2d93backed Yes | 24c | 651$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked No | 40c | 646$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed No | 74c | 637$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.38 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 59c | 624$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked Yes | 80c | 611$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.74 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 50c | 600.57$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.79 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked No | 40c | 589$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 42c | 588$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.96 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 40c | 583$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.23 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 57c | 575$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.25 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 18c | 568$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.76 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 16c | 551$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed Yes | 18c | 547$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…0ae1backed No | 40c | 538.52$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 9c | 538.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 79c | 536$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked No | 39c | 535$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 26c | 534$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.16 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 39c | 530$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…8432backed No | 20c | 512.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes | 18c | 511$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 41c | 492$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 59c | 489$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b18ebacked Yes | 16c | 482$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Yes | 77c | 469.78$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 42c | 461$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.62 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed Yes | 18c | 449$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 58c | 449$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 59c | 445.06$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 61c | 441$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 59c | 432$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 40c | 421$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 42c | 413$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 39c | 397$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 61c | 397$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked Yes | 58c | 396$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…ce56backed No | 43c | 394$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 40c | 389$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 41c | 378$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed Yes | 61c | 374$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked Yes | 18c | 367$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed No | 10c | 361$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes | 16c | 358$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes | 26c | 357$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 18c | 352$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 18c | 337$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 77c | 337$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 18c | 325$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…a6aabacked Yes | 18c | 324$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed No | 42c | 319$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 58c | 310$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 40c | 309$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked No | 9c | 306$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed No | 39c | 305$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 41c | 295$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked No | 11c | 295$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked Yes | 59c | 295$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 41c | 291$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 26c | 287$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.38 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed Yes | 18c | 283$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 42c | 280$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 60c | 276$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 26c | 275.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed Yes | 18c | 266$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed No | 40c | 263$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 61c | 263$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 60c | 262$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 10c | 261.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked No | 74c | 259$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.66 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trae Young be traded this season?this page
- Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?No won
- Will Ja Morant be traded this season?No won
- Will James Harden be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?No won
- Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges be traded this season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.