NBA · resolved market
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1533815b6aaeed6e214a33adacd0eb458f889069d9ea73a010380091a8af5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9939…c201backed Yes | 25c | 11,330$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128b…f4f7backed No | 75c | 3,030$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6545…03c5backed No | 75c | 2,830$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…9bb8backed No | 75c | 2,820$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…0ebdbacked No | 75c | 2,650$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 64c | 2,622$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.64 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 24c | 2,217$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.08 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,598$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 72c | 1,477$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,459$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.59 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 24c | 1,346$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,299$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…aeb8backed Yes | 24c | 1,181$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 74c | 1,166$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 76c | 1,141$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked No | 70c | 1,116$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.69 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 76c | 1,107$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 27c | 1,077$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.46 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 24c | 1,072$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 74c | 1,068$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,068$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 25c | 1,003$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 78c | 920$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 30c | 902$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed Yes | 25c | 890$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 74c | 868$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed No | 75c | 850$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed Yes | 34c | 843$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 25c | 838$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed Yes | 24c | 819$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 24c | 804$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked Yes | 24c | 799$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 33c | 797$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.01 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed No | 72c | 765$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…59d2backed No | 66c | 765$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 76c | 765$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 24c | 764$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed No | 75c | 733$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 76c | 723$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.09 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked No | 76c | 720$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 70c | 706$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 17c | 704$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…cb94backed Yes | 33c | 694$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed Yes | 17c | 678.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…f54ebacked No | 67c | 674$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 25c | 670$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…358fbacked Yes | 25c | 662$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 76c | 661$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 67c | 645$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked No | 76c | 638$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked No | 76c | 636$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 17c | 626$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed No | 76c | 610$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 24c | 596$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed No | 67c | 576$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 25c | 575$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…857abacked No | 75c | 575$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…391abacked No | 67c | 565$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 32c | 559$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed No | 67c | 548$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed No | 76c | 546$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 68c | 540$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 20c | 537$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 75c | 523$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 24c | 510$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.05 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…2dcfbacked Yes | 56c | 502.55$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 17c | 497$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked Yes | 25c | 481$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 34c | 468$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 26c | 463.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked No | 76c | 456$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 75c | 442$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked No | 74c | 440$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed Yes | 33c | 439$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…90ffbacked No | 73c | 434$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 80c | 432.82$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed Yes | 32c | 425$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed No | 68c | 424$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed No | 69c | 423$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…3a93backed No | 75c | 420$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 78c | 415$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Yes | 42c | 412.13$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes | 17c | 411$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 30c | 408$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed Yes | 25c | 408$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed No | 68c | 404$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 32c | 401$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes | 19c | 391$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 10c | 390.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 26c | 389$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 67c | 386$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 33c | 386$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 61c | 374.21$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked Yes | 25c | 357$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 32c | 354$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 75c | 354$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed No | 67c | 349$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 76c | 345$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 76c | 341$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?this page
- Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?No won
- Will Ja Morant be traded this season?No won
- Will James Harden be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?No won
- Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges be traded this season?No won
- Will Trae Young be traded this season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.