TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x755e…7b04

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$121.06
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.29
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.01
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$57.6
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.17
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.93
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.39
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$124.41
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$95.48
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.87
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$237.82
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$172.89
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$241.28
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$400.91
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$175.07
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$512.33
Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$345.15
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.74
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$88.51
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$480.68
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$43.2
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.7
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.58
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.37
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.3
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.29
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$420.69
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75.5
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$180.84
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25%+$35.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+72.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.06
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$73.5
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$232.56
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$464.64
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$56.8
Will the US not strike Iran by April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$338.67
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+566.7%+$750.55
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$187.2
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$280.32
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$110.5
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$269.72
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$293.69
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$181.63
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$684
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$312
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$145.41
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$265.35
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$64.68
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$680.16
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.7%+$266.36
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$131.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.96
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$309.05
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$218.46
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.81
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$174
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$281.05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$68.2
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$162.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+334.8%+$103.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$305.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$320.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$108.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$73.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked East Texas A&M Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$838.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$210.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$372.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.