Middle East · resolved market

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x042203d3dff34fe5fe45c914d5e948177a5b1e3e88c06a9f84f3ab9378f6d5ce

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,128 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes	34c	1,422$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.48	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked No	66c	895$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.3	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f7d…a315backed No	66c	633$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.22	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a40…904bbacked No	66c	451$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.34	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+90.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92a…9134backed Yes	34c	451$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.34	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed Yes	34c	374$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.16	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	19c	365.23$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.86	490	23.5%115 W · 375 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…e4c8backed No	66c	338$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.92	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.5wins	-0.25per pick	53cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked Yes	34c	325$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.5	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-4.0wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x755e…7b04backed No	66c	325$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.5	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+72.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	15c	234$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.11	865	42.3%366 W · 499 L	-3.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	32c	199.96$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.99	643	39.3%253 W · 390 L	-59.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	11c	116.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.33	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e24…ed17backed No	67c	112$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.34	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+55%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c66…31e3backed Yes	35c	111$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.76	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked No	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	82	57.3%47 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	32c	99.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.76	857	25.2%216 W · 641 L	-115.1wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes	17c	75.58$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.21	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked No	68c	73.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.33	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes	34c	70$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes	35c	66$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.01	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2947…4cf4backed No	66c	37.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb572…b432backed No	68c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2820…c2e5backed No	68c	29.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.55	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.24per pick	63cpaid	-44%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe869…dbfdbacked No	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+87.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d2…cd9cbacked No	68c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc561…fa80backed No	65c	27.85$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.75	87	63.2%55 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06db…5244backed No	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+30%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1b3…1426backed No	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	133	60.9%81 W · 52 L	+18.4wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8369…5e03backed No	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79eb…9c72backed No	80c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-33%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed No	74c	17.93$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.62	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event