Middle East · resolved market

Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c0047eedba54adf36cc31fd6a3375031e9db303cec7d24e19cc7af7d0c00a3a

Rebuilt 52 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,968 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5a40…4093backed Yes	3c	9,079$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.81	98	25.5%25 W · 73 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes	47c	2,000$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932	362	27.9%101 W · 261 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…d7b3backed No	76c	1,997$1,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.48	10	100%10 W · 0 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff05…fad7backed Yes	1c	1,845$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed No	73c	1,803$1,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.68	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b44…264ebacked No	44c	1,231$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.98	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+9.7wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+156.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Yes	34c	1,122$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e4…369fbacked No	40c	902$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.83	125	25.6%32 W · 93 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c9…bee7backed No	29c	813$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.23	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+76.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecdf…85edbacked Yes	3c	685.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7975…d3f7backed No	32c	551.62$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.94	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c66…31e3backed No	30c	512.96$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.68	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1617…ec98backed Yes	69c	481$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.89	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	31c	465.24$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.16	490	23.5%115 W · 375 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ec…62aabacked No	31c	445$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.05	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e3e…6b65backed Yes	71c	428$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.88	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+122.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	22c	422.25$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.45	104	44.2%46 W · 58 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e9e…bd89backed No	31c	419.35$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.35	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+98.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c95…7652backed Yes	61c	400$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656c…af94backed No	31c	369$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.61	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbe…f1d5backed Yes	69c	369$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.61	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.6wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18c4…e9c5backed Yes	24c	353.68$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.74	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	32c	334.01$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.72	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No	46c	329.95$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.57	511	38.7%198 W · 313 L	+18.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	6c	308.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	238	4.6%11 W · 227 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79c7…78a6backed No	77c	300.19$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ef…1b6ebacked Yes	67c	300$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb2…c4a2backed Yes	67c	298.28$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+316.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5742…5e12backed Yes	16c	290.91$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.18	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e2…f8bbbacked No	62c	281.46$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.24	109	45.9%50 W · 59 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5a…2afdbacked Yes	28c	280$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.4	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf4…d1bfbacked Yes	5c	252.49$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	64c	242.88$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.59	678	41.6%282 W · 396 L	-20.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3f6…f7c2backed Yes	22c	226.09$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes	22c	222$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.84	201	43.3%87 W · 114 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…8f97backed Yes	14c	221.81$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca9…4fcabacked Yes	71c	211.73$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed No	74c	208$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.63	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa276…2613backed Yes	6c	207.76$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.43per pick	37cpaid	+170%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf888…1c04backed Yes	71c	204$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.84	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed No	74c	202.77$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.88	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+79%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	62c	202$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.65	865	42.3%366 W · 499 L	-3.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b8…ec46backed Yes	23c	200$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.3	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d6…bca9backed No	31c	191$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.79	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6891…1146backed Yes	71c	181$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.51	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+56%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed No	73c	160.16$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.89	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes	50c	160$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+25%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f4…d6debacked Yes	69c	155$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.95	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes	27c	147.54$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36da…8218backed No	64c	141.5$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.33	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…4c92backed Yes	52c	139.98$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.61	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	29c	137.78$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.97	358	19%68 W · 290 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe5e…8054backed No	46c	134.64$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.14	55	25.5%14 W · 41 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3068…083dbacked No	30c	124.56$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.06	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f92…15d2backed Yes	70c	119.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.65	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2a…5ccebacked No	32c	103.77$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.94	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	71c	100$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	643	39.3%253 W · 390 L	-59.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf65b…675cbacked Yes	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc468…009dbacked Yes	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	149	45%67 W · 82 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	73c	98.79$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.05	776	36.9%286 W · 490 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7e…35b7backed No	64c	96.67$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.53	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	38cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0548…66a0backed Yes	36c	92.32$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.87	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No	45c	91.73$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.45	93	53.8%50 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	33c	87.68$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.77	896	17.1%153 W · 743 L	-57.2wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde4a…20cbbacked Yes	55c	85.59$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c6…49d2backed Yes	32c	80.98$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.3	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed No	45c	70$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.26per pick	44cpaid	+802.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed No	29c	69.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.49	155	23.2%36 W · 119 L	+12.1wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+64.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed No	64c	64.95$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.55	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b92…6088backed Yes	58c	60.34$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes	67c	57.9$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.73	38	50%19 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…64eebacked Yes	71c	55.95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71ba…90abbacked Yes	66c	49.76$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.41per pick	66cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9b8…8363backed Yes	42c	48.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	34c	45.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.64	344	32.3%111 W · 233 L	-31.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x71cb…2516backed Yes	41c	41.46$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed No	46c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes	66c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+26%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8369…5e03backed Yes	57c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed No	34c	39.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.39	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Yes	74c	37.54$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbce…7873backed Yes	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0058…7fb6backed Yes	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x884d…1e0bbacked Yes	31c	32.06$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b7…d5f3backed No	64c	28.27$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.27	253	39.5%100 W · 153 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Yes	55c	27.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.45	77	22.1%17 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5039…946dbacked No	77c	27.15$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.19	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No	64c	23.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.63	84	82.1%69 W · 15 L	+11.8wins	+0.14per pick	68cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd837…1a82backed Yes	64c	23.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa46e…8bacbacked Yes	54c	22.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e29…1a0cbacked Yes	70c	21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ae…5323backed Yes	68c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9934…6078backed Yes	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	75	48%36 W · 39 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa6…2ff3backed Yes	73c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc624…ee24backed No	78c	14.02$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.02	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-12.6wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd11a…c635backed No	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event